tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18419414524301040492024-03-07T04:35:15.217+01:00UAObserverUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger403125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-20633000920072366282024-02-16T01:18:00.000+01:002024-02-16T01:18:00.502+01:00Biden chooses Putin over Ukraine and Putin reciprocates<h4 style="text-align: left;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #666666; font-family: arial;">UAOserver
</span></h4><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhifIFh7dFPHw9Us0JeLrxNmqMXiFHH5xzD-bd3a_CBVOuUy5l1j7dmR-TuBux0QAhinR685U4DiOVB7kk8CRAx79XreQkAYglBKGEtn4Vq0x_7SnVbnW8jpExLXBM2AVRJQkAqVdqOVw-_Ppk32iBY973GkWnhd5KwFPlN3r4Qg8PNJTMrQ1GCj-KO3oQ/s1314/Screenshot%202024-02-15%20at%207.09.38%E2%80%AFPM.png" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="752" data-original-width="1314" height="392" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhifIFh7dFPHw9Us0JeLrxNmqMXiFHH5xzD-bd3a_CBVOuUy5l1j7dmR-TuBux0QAhinR685U4DiOVB7kk8CRAx79XreQkAYglBKGEtn4Vq0x_7SnVbnW8jpExLXBM2AVRJQkAqVdqOVw-_Ppk32iBY973GkWnhd5KwFPlN3r4Qg8PNJTMrQ1GCj-KO3oQ/w687-h392/Screenshot%202024-02-15%20at%207.09.38%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="687" /></a></div><br />Joe Biden plays exactly into Putin's hands by depriving Ukraine of military aid. Nothing strange that Putin prefers Biden to Trump. Trump talks about appeasing Putin. Biden does appease Putin. <p></p><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">The only preoccupation of Biden is to shift the responsibility for depriving Ukraine of military aid to Republicans to look good inside the country and abroad. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;"><span style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;"><a style="animation-name: none; color: #385898; cursor: pointer; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;" tabindex="-1"></a></span>Biden has enough possibilities to supply Ukraine with the necessary arms but prefers appeasing Putin to get Putin's support for reelection. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Both Trump and Biden compete for Putin's favor as Putin possesses the Golden share and, in fact, appoints the next president of the US as he did with two previous presidents. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Trump won the 2016 election and Biden 2020 thanks to Putin's Golden share.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">As the balance of votes during the election in the US is very close, the winner depends on the third party's candidates. Third-party candidates in the US depend on Putin - he decides whether they will run or not. And which of them - those who will benefit Biden or Trump. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Putin is the master of the situation.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;"> Neither American legislation nor acting politicians or security institutions are unable (or don’t want - heads of the FBI and CIA are Putin's lobbyists) to deprive Putin of his influence over American politics. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">The Kremlin, not the American people, decides who will run the country as the President for the next 4 years. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">As the only way to win the 2024 election is to appease Putin, sacrificing American interests and European allies, this is exactly what both Biden and Trump do. </div><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;"><br /></div><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">This is the current state of democracy in the US.</div></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-62095730176239807992024-01-14T23:34:00.007+01:002024-01-14T23:45:25.661+01:00Iran-backed, Russia-sponsored Houthis Special Military Operation in Red Sea <p><span style="color: #666666;"><span style="font-family: arial; font-size: medium; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><b><span style="background-color: white;">Irina Severin | U</span><span style="background-color: white;">AObserver</span></b></span><span style="background-color: white; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"> </span></span></p><p></p><div style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_pzj38ASJ4CEiOJKud-5jwlXTSQhbccUzzo2EWMEc7K5-c80mx9d6u1NIZAdNuX37hczL6PNuFhujQFiWLm_AFhyphenhyphenkOMgb-ULWqx9UEDWow-zguXa2VW_DlXcA3k0mcM2ZBjQlLFxt24im5CtA2XL0ecnDZRySTwLASqxoHQRBPmsspuvxUbCEHBEg1P0/s1234/Screenshot%202024-01-14%20at%205.36.44%E2%80%AFPM.png" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="656" data-original-width="1234" height="369" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_pzj38ASJ4CEiOJKud-5jwlXTSQhbccUzzo2EWMEc7K5-c80mx9d6u1NIZAdNuX37hczL6PNuFhujQFiWLm_AFhyphenhyphenkOMgb-ULWqx9UEDWow-zguXa2VW_DlXcA3k0mcM2ZBjQlLFxt24im5CtA2XL0ecnDZRySTwLASqxoHQRBPmsspuvxUbCEHBEg1P0/w695-h369/Screenshot%202024-01-14%20at%205.36.44%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="695" /></a></div><p></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">The Hindustan Times <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I0eEpHKuXw8" target="_blank">video </a>shows against whom the international coalition is fighting in the Red Sea. </span><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">Officially "Iran-backed Houthis" situationally are Russian proxies, while Iran in Russia's false flag operation is a convenient cover-up and scapegoat, blindly used by Putin in Russia's big game for global dominance.</span></p><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: arial;">By employing Houthis, Putin achieves two goals. The first goal is destroying the main maritime artery for world trade to tout the Russian Northern Sea Route in the Arctic as a <span><a style="color: #385898; cursor: pointer;" tabindex="-1"></a></span>"pirate-free" alternative compared with the troubled Suez Canal.</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">The second goal is to get Iran under attack by the Western coalition to drag it into a war with the United States and the West, thus completely diverting Western attention and resources from Ukraine. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Raising the world oil prices as the result of Russian-backed Houthis' blockage is rather a bonus compared with global reformatting tasks. <span><a name='more'></a></span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">The video shows against whom the international coalition is fighting in the Red Sea. Officially "Iran-backed, Houthis situationally are Russian proxies while Iran in Russia's false flag operation is a convenient cover-up and scapegoat, blindly used by Putin in Russia's big game for global dominance.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Houthi's leader was the first to publicly support Russia's military attack on Ukraine on February 22, 2022, to demonstrate his ultimate devotion to Putin.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">By employing Houthis, Putin achieves two goals. The first goal is destroying the main maritime artery for world trade to tout the Russian Northern Sea Route in the Arctic as a "pirate-free" alternative compared with the troubled Suez Canal. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Making China invest in infrastructure for the Northern Sea route would propel Russia to the global leader status, leaving the West and China behind, as Russians are convinced. Until now, Xi politely refused Putin's insistent offer. But disabling the Suez Canal with Houthis' help could change Xi's mind in Putin's view. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Putin, for years, planned to disable the Suez Canal by creating a Russian military base in Sudan, but the project was halted. Putin tried to reanimate Somali Pirates to achieve the goal, but they appeared too weak for such an ambitious goal. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">The second goal of Houthis' operations in the Red Sea is to get Iran under attack by the Western coalition dragging it into a war with the United States and the West, thus utterly diverting Western attention and resources from Ukraine. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Raising the world oil prices due to Russia-backed Houthis blockage is rather a bonus, compared with global reformatting tasks. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Houthis, despite their loudly expressed religious fanaticism, are the same mercenaries as Hamas, ISIS, Somali pirates, Wagner group, etc, whom Putin routinely recruits to achieve Russia's strategic goals. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Putin, the same way, recruited Hamas to provoke the war in Gaza, where he achieved two strategic goals - diverted attention/resources from Ukraine and discredited the US and Biden, who had nothing to do but support Israel. Putin also mobilizes the global South against the US, positioning himself as a defender of Gaza's and Muslim interests. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">In the Russian false flag combination with Hamas, it is still unclear the role of Putin's friend Netanyahu and how the Israel enforcement structures could miss the Russia-backed Hamas attack?</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Putin's recruiting methods of the mercenaries are well-known - ideological indoctrination, corruption, reflexive control, massive propaganda, etc. All of them work perfectly.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">However, the West downplays Russia's role for some reason. Why? Designating Russia as a state-sponsor of terrorism would resolve immediately a lot of problems and would make Russia to play </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Houthis, despite their loud slogans and expressed fanaticism, are the same mercenaries as Hamas, Isis, Somali pirates, Wagner group, etc. All of them, Putin routinely recruits to achieve Russia's goals in the region. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">The methods are well-known - ideological indoctrination, corruption, reflexive control, massive propaganda, etc. All of them work perfectly.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">However, the West downplays Russia's role for some reason. Why? The simple step would immediately weaken Russia and Putin and stop their sweeping rise, which became possible only because Biden refused to designate Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism a year ago and properly isolate Moscow? </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">The suggestion that the West fears Russia's potential collapse doesn't hold water. Russia's collapse is not a problem but a desirable and perfect solution once and forever. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">It becomes clear if to ignore Russian propaganda, be it generated by the Kremlin or the so-called Russian opposition, which doesn't differ much from Putin and plays in the West the role of the Kremlin's lobbyists (with some insignificant exceptions).</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Leaving the growing, like a snow koi, threat of Russia's aggressive imperialism to the next generations is neither wise nor responsible.</div></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-32819572374585769912023-11-04T13:57:00.006+01:002023-11-04T14:26:04.686+01:00Putin's New Reflexive Control Operation or What was the goal of the rumor spread by Russians about Putin's death?<h4 style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="background-color: white; color: #666666; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">By Irina Severin | UAObserver</span></span></h4><div><span style="font-family: arial;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgKqHEsSn5n49SYDsQbkv7FpYFcMHNbKOZTg3SY9qxNmvfoeLIu44Dby2Tszc0ufhmNDJyG3KZX5E7nhEz_LmkOlzp1vTZA84U3lNIZmM3DLyLtInkKd5JeHfk0_XsBbac-pnFyGE6xFKPlFVV8imFo8IsLUQcSyd1oew_7xyPJETxYIzOadXMSlN-y6PI/s1434/Screenshot%202023-11-04%20at%202.17.12%E2%80%AFPM.png" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="864" data-original-width="1434" height="411" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgKqHEsSn5n49SYDsQbkv7FpYFcMHNbKOZTg3SY9qxNmvfoeLIu44Dby2Tszc0ufhmNDJyG3KZX5E7nhEz_LmkOlzp1vTZA84U3lNIZmM3DLyLtInkKd5JeHfk0_XsBbac-pnFyGE6xFKPlFVV8imFo8IsLUQcSyd1oew_7xyPJETxYIzOadXMSlN-y6PI/w682-h411/Screenshot%202023-11-04%20at%202.17.12%E2%80%AFPM.png" width="682" /></a></div><br /><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></span></span></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></div><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></div><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></div><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></div><div class="xdj266r x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs x126k92a" style="margin: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Putin's New Reflexive Control Operation or What was the goal of the rumor spread by Russians about Putin's death?</div><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></div><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;"><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Foremost, the rumor was addressed to the Western leaders, not to the Russian public as some suggest. From the Reflexive Control point of view, the information about Putin's death should provoke shock and fear about chaos in Russia as a country with nuclear weapons in case of Putin's death. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">The Western leaders should imagine a nightmare scenario with terrifying <span style="font-family: inherit;"><a style="color: #385898; cursor: pointer; font-family: inherit;" tabindex="-1"></a></span>pictures of a bloody civil war in Russia with chaos and nuclear weapons without control spread to the Middle East or elsewhere. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">They should think: maybe it would be better that he is still alive - despite being predictably unpredictable, he is better than somebody unknown like semi-crazy Patrushev. At least Putin has mild manners, and it is possible to converse with him. And this is exactly what happened. <span><a name='more'></a></span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">How could Western leaders verify Putin is alive or not, and they don't deal with him, not an anonymous doppelgänger instead? The obvious way was to call Putin and check personally if he was alive. All of them had a practice of phone calls with him. And nobody better than them knows his way of talking, etc. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">This means that the Western leaders, scared and confused, did call Putin, and Putin could exploit their confusion and abashment by demanding some significant concessions they would definitely agree to after the good news that Putin is alive and still has mild manners and maybe he should be valued. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">While Western leaders were confused, scared, etc, Putin was calculated and well-prepared. He knows that if the Western leaders promise something, they will follow it.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">This means that he should use his conversation to obtain a promise, which is much easier for a psychologically destabilized person. And he could obtain whatever he wanted.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">It looks like Joe Biden and Olaf Scholz, and probably Emanuel Macron fell into Putin's trap and did call Putin. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">The fact that ATACAMS are not included in the new package of American aid means that Biden did promise Putin to stop providing Ukraine with these missiles. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Putin didn't even have to promise something in exchange for massive concessions - the fact that he is alive and Russia is under control was a good enough reason to make such a promise.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">The same is true with Scholz, who was expected to follow Biden's suit by supplying Ukraine with Taurus missiles, etc.</div><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Therefore, due to a banal hoax, Putin is back in the game: the Western world leaders called him. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">They made significant one-sided concessions to Putin, which led to a stalemate on the battlefield, benefiting Russia and destroying Ukrainian chances to win. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">With one hoax (or Reflexive Control operation), Putin de facto won the war, making the Western leaders abide by him and fulfill his every whim, pretending to the public that they are still tough toward Putin and still support Ukraine. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">But should the Western leaders keep their promises being de facto psychologically raped by Putin and tricked into a commitment? De facto, Putin has stolen their promise of concessions by using the forbidden method of psychological violence. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">And is this really such a nightmare if Putin dies and Russia collapses? Do Russians even have the weapons they pretend to have, or they expired a long time ago? And Putin uses their vague image as a horror story to frighten and exploit the fears of Western politicians. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">All Russian nuclear weapons were maintained by Ukrainian specialists. And there is plenty of evidence that it has long lost its capacity to be used.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">In the 80's of the last century Soviet nuclear weapons were a real problem, not now. Remains of the Soviet era either expired or were concreted into their silos during Yeltsin's era, which is a well documented fact. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">During Putin's era, nothing except science fiction and cartoons about "the strongest in the world " and "unique and no analogs Russian weapons" was ever produced. Putin wins using old KGB virtual methods like Reflexive Control, which as practice shows, are enough to frighten the West. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Isn’t Russia’s so-called nuclear arsenal just another hoax Russians use to scare the West and exist only in their imagination? </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">The collapse of Russia is the solution and hope, not a nightmare, as Russian propaganda suggests. This is a historical process that can't be avoided, which will resolve many problems once and forever. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;">Did they think what would happen if they abandoned Ukraine and let Russia win as they do now? This is the real nightmare, not the imagined one.</div></div></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto" style="font-family: inherit;"><br /></div></div></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-61351678059314977612023-06-24T03:30:00.001+02:002023-07-05T22:18:18.824+02:00Prigozhin's short-lived triumph and Putin's next failure to replace Shoigu<p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiGHeJNtmyMxUA8M0hgw7B6mjll6jaXh7fiWMLFBoZMsgQz32zozigNNG8rWiIB79FG3NrHEteYlkBqSSXXvsyc79H3NKqHJ9POxSCnKg8vGGrAomNqWMNzi_9UwQSJTVtkDmMXeuIfpA8aWXb47egtwQMfrAQy3iiduTEhfsBm9sl_2XMtHylkYZ_xmRM/s2196/Screenshot%202023-07-05%20at%203.37.09%20PM.png" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1050" data-original-width="2196" height="321" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiGHeJNtmyMxUA8M0hgw7B6mjll6jaXh7fiWMLFBoZMsgQz32zozigNNG8rWiIB79FG3NrHEteYlkBqSSXXvsyc79H3NKqHJ9POxSCnKg8vGGrAomNqWMNzi_9UwQSJTVtkDmMXeuIfpA8aWXb47egtwQMfrAQy3iiduTEhfsBm9sl_2XMtHylkYZ_xmRM/w672-h321/Screenshot%202023-07-05%20at%203.37.09%20PM.png" width="672" /></a></div>The videos of Prigozhin and Wagner leaving Rostov looks like Prigozhin's triumph Putin only can dream about. For jealous Putin, this is what a nightmare <span></span>looks like.<p></p><p>As for the continuation of the story, Putin and Prigozhin understood differently the deal they made via Lukashenko. Putin won't fire Shoigu, which was the main condition of Prigozhin. Not because Putin doesn't want to, he can't. </p><p>The fact that yesterday, Alexei Diumin was called to the Kremlin means that Putin counted on Prigozhin to eliminate Shoigu to replace him with his long-time bodyguard and loyalist Diumin finally. </p><p>In 2021 after the Duma elections, Putin already tried to replace Shoigu with his other former bodyguard Yevgeny Zinichev, who then occupied the same position as earlier Shoigu - the head of the Emergency Ministry. </p><p><span></span></p><a name='more'></a>However, when Putin, during the retreat to Siberian Taiga, tried to convince Shoigu to move to another position, Zinichev suddenly died in "an accident" during a working expedition to the Arctic. As Stalin used to say: "No man, no problem." As a result, Putin has lost his loyalists and friend, but Shpigu continues to control the army. <p></p><p>Putin hoped to take revenge this time by getting rid of Shoigu with Prigozhin's hands. Instead, Prigozhin theatrically announced his trip to Rostov-on-Don to punish Shoigu and was amazed that Shoigu didn't wait for him there. And announced his march for justice, terrifying not so much evading Shoigu as Putin's establishment as such. </p><p>After Prigozhin's public exposure of corruption in the Putin administration, Shoigu's false preconditions for a war against Ukraine, accepted by Putin, and the plans of oligarchs close to Putin to plunder the occupied Ukrainian territories, Prigozhin has become almost a greater enemy for Putin than Shoigu, who at least publicly feigns loyalty to Putin.</p><p>Therefore, Prigozhin irritated Putin with both the failed operation and even more with Prigozhin's sudden criticism and march to Moscow, meant to punish Shoigu but which looked more like a threat to Putin and his circle. </p><p>Obviously, Shoigu didn't wait for Prigozhin in Moscow either. However, Prigozhin's march destroyed Putin's visibility of power without achieving any goal. </p><p>Putin had vehemently distanced himself from Prigozhin by declaring him a traitor endangering the unity of the country in a critical moment and leading it to a disaster similar to the civil war that followed the Revolution of 1917.</p><p>Prigozhin's goals were not achieved. Shoigu still is the Minister of Defence, which disappoints Putin himself, as he still doesn't control the army and lives in constant expectation of a military coup. Neither Prigozhin didn't get in touch with Putin to inform him of the real situation on the front.</p><p>Meanwhile, Prigozhin, after getting a rest in Belarus, will recall the moments of his triumph in Rostov-on-Don and, with fresh forces and Wagner rebels, will renew his oppositional activity. Therefore, the developments of the last couple of days could be just a general rehearsal of the historic march to Moscow, which is yet to come.</p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-31201949704514282342023-06-17T23:17:00.103+02:002023-07-07T16:15:23.901+02:00Did Shoigu overplay Prigozhin and who framed whom? <p><b style="color: #666666; font-family: arial;"> UAObserver </b></p><p></p><table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUkGaz-c-1KHRh_OsL-z1EpU7-lh2ioUQovhPeqQ2igg9YmnM9lCZQhWsVrPUpk5eQQ4kpXkOsoRFvJntmw1W2Guc4AREOPw8UkiT09wCtMw9U2CBaLTi4CDovXSd-OhM_WysaUfuDYFGan690S4v5sTYlUbGYBEQTpVsbw2OLsaE3oH4gYS1S87T5wwE/s1248/Screenshot%202023-06-23%20at%205.18.27%20PM.png" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="630" data-original-width="1248" height="341" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUkGaz-c-1KHRh_OsL-z1EpU7-lh2ioUQovhPeqQ2igg9YmnM9lCZQhWsVrPUpk5eQQ4kpXkOsoRFvJntmw1W2Guc4AREOPw8UkiT09wCtMw9U2CBaLTi4CDovXSd-OhM_WysaUfuDYFGan690S4v5sTYlUbGYBEQTpVsbw2OLsaE3oH4gYS1S87T5wwE/w674-h341/Screenshot%202023-06-23%20at%205.18.27%20PM.png" width="674" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: arial;">By swearing allegiance to Shoigu, "Akhmat" and Kadyrov crossed the line, which is punishable <br /><br /></span></td></tr></tbody></table><p><span style="font-family: arial;">The scandal between Prigozhin and Shoigu involving Kadyrov, Delimkhanov, and Putin has changed the Russian political landscape a bit. However, it was not Prigozhin who framed Putin by refusing to sign an agreement with Shoigu, as it looks like, but Kadyrov, who signed it. Especially so as Shoigu issued his order without Putin's approval, challenging him. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">The "Akhmat" Special Rapid Response Unit is a subdivision of the Russian Guard, personally subordinate to Putin and headed by his former bodyguard Zolotov. "Akhmat" in no way is not "a volunteer unit" mentioned in Shoigu's order. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">Putin created the Russian Guard as a counterbalance to Shoigu's army for Putin's protection after one of the attempts on his life. Putin let Kadyrov create a de facto private army located in Chechnya which was formally subordinated to the Russian Guard in exchange for Kadyrov's promise to be "Putin's infantry" protecting him and his clan. But the sudden public Akhmat signing of an agreement with Shoigu meant an over to the side of the rival clan.<span></span></span></p><a name='more'></a><p></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">The death or temporary disappearance of Delimkhanov could be a warning from Putin's clan to Kadyrov. It was curious to observe the pleasure with which Putin's press secretary Peskov expressed condolences to Kadyrov in connection with the presumed death of Delimkhanov. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">Delimkhanov, the most prominent member of the Kadyrov clan, has long irritated Putin. In particular, he openly supported the official title "Father of the country" for Kadyrov, despite Putin's law of 2021 prohibiting the leaders of republics from being called presidents. The measure was taken to counter or prevent a centrifugal trend in Russia and potential fragmentation. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">Moreover, Putin believes that he is not only the President of all Russians but the "Father of the Peoples," as Stalin used to call himself. Delimkhanov's open defiance, combined with the formal defection to the opposing clan side, was bound to provoke a reaction from the Chekist clan.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">As for Prigozhin, he remained loyal to Putin and, to hush up the scandal that has become public, can even sign a contract with Shoigu, but with an amendment, mentioned by Putin when asked by one of the military bloggers during the meeting. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">Putin had no choice but to pretend that Shoigu's order was issued with his knowledge but should be upgraded to the law and amended. The amendment should consider Prigozhin's interests and level the contract's provisions in his favor. For example, the agreement could be signed with Wagner as a unit, not individually, with every fighter, as Shoigu suggested. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">In such a case, Prigoshin, by stipulating his rights and Shoigu's obligations, could benefit from the contract more than Shoigu. Putin would seize the initiative from Shoigu, maintain a veneer of decency, and protect his and Prigozhin's interests.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">For Putin, Prigozhin's Wagner group is the only military force he can count on if he is forced to face Shoigu's military, especially after Kadyrov's defection to another side. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">On the other hand, who in Russia pays attention to laws and follows orders? It is enough to recall how many times Commander-in-Chief Putin issued decrees ordering the withdrawal of Russian troops from Syria, but Shoigu never complied with them.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">As a result, Putin had to send Prigozhin with the Wagner group to Syria to look after Shoigu. In response, Shoigu intentionally set up the Wagner group under the fire of the US forces. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">As Putin refuses to introduce martial law, Shoigu has no extended powers he craves for. Putin can't fire Shoigu but manages to contain him preserving an equilibrium inside the infighting diarchy.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">And Shoigu, who has exceeded his powers by issuing an order ignoring Putin, will have to retreat until the next conflict between all those involved.</span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">On the other hand, Prigozhin did irritate Putin with his suddenly growing popularity and suddenly apparent political ambitions. Putin's priority lately was neutralizing Prigozhin's popularity by increasing his presence in the information space in recent days. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">By making Prigozhin agree to sign Shoigu's order, Putin made Prigozhin look like a loser and destroyed his image as a strong leader. Also, as with Navalny, Putin banned mentioning Prigozhin's name by official media. </span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;">By meeting with military bloggers, Putin took control of this segment of Russian media. Filling the information space with his sayings, Putin managed to push Prigozhin into the background.</span></p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-30175055983929275942023-06-12T01:29:00.001+02:002023-07-25T01:34:40.506+02:00Shoigu targets Prigozhin, hits Putin clan<p><b style="color: #666666; font-family: arial;">UAObserver</b></p><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJgDMdmaIpFd7jsOWoW_mrHwIqL5dtP2oxYuYENpKLjylxe9UiAVHSx1YinJifTehLG87-gyqoexWx-f_JC86ax89qdHoBL_Se6aJ2Q3s1lLrZRkYg--iWF0zJ77AATWLDAPC94bwR1CGQI8BEG6EJahoqf6Y3dIauJ4n5eQUtJ4CSoZWhtBCQ9-rsvE0/s1412/Screenshot%202023-07-06%20at%206.25.13%20PM.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="1412" height="339" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJgDMdmaIpFd7jsOWoW_mrHwIqL5dtP2oxYuYENpKLjylxe9UiAVHSx1YinJifTehLG87-gyqoexWx-f_JC86ax89qdHoBL_Se6aJ2Q3s1lLrZRkYg--iWF0zJ77AATWLDAPC94bwR1CGQI8BEG6EJahoqf6Y3dIauJ4n5eQUtJ4CSoZWhtBCQ9-rsvE0/w665-h339/Screenshot%202023-07-06%20at%206.25.13%20PM.png" width="665" /></a></div><br /><b style="color: #666666; font-family: arial;"><br /></b><p></p><p><span style="font-family: "Helvetica Neue"; font-size: 13px;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="font-family: "Helvetica Neue"; font-size: 13px;">Defense minister Sergei Shoigu's directive demanding that all ‘volunteer detachments’ must sign military contracts by the end of the month aimed at taking under control Wagner and other paramilitary formations, not subordinates to him. </span></p><p><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="background-color: transparent; font-family: "Helvetica Neue"; font-size: 13px;">The directive was not agreed with Putin. Which especially important that these paramilitary formations belong to the competing Putin clan and initially were meant to balance Shoigu's extensive military force, directly subordinated and loyal to him. By such a move made under the pretext of aligning all military formations, Shoigu substantially weakened Putin's clan. </span></span></p><p><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The main target of the Shoigu directive is Wagner, whose owner Prigozhin lately openly criticized Shoigu for ineffectiveness. </span></span><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Lately, there were more so-called private armies created to protect the Putin clan or, de facto, to protect the owners of companies and heads of the regions, </span></span><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">as lately, weakened by sanctions and isolation Putin started to cease being a guarantor for their positions, or property rights. <span></span></span></p><a name='more'></a><p></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">The only way the local leaders and big company owners could protect themselves was by creating their own armies, and the legitimate pretext was the Special military operation in Ukraine. As the center is weakening</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">, the clan war in Russia is about to transform into a war of all against all. </span></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">To prevent the feudal wars and reverse the centrifugal movement, Shoigu would need to withdraw the army from Ukraine and redirect it against the separatists inside Russia. </span></p><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The alternative to disintegration is the introduction of martial law in Russia, which Shoigu fought for lately. </span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;">However, Putin will never agree to launch martial law, as this would mean the simultaneous transfer of entire power in the country to Shoigu. In fact, Shoigu's directive should follow the introduction of martial law, but as Putin refused to set it, Shoigu's decree de facto replaced it.</span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;">It is interesting that several days ago, Putin called Shoigu to the Kremlin for the report, but the meeting never took place. Shoigu just didn't come. This shows that the tension between Putin and Shoigu achieved such a degree that mutual security guarantees that worked for years no longer work. </span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The confrontation is moving into an open phase, although Putin is still trying to pretend that he is above the fight between Prigozhin and Shoigu and continues to control the overall situation. </span><span style="font-family: arial;">At the same time, lately, Putin easily managed to resolve the face-off between Prigozhin and Kadyrov since they belong to the same clan.</span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;">However, Putin may not succeed in the role of mediator next time as the centrifugal trends will progress in parallel with the growing economic crisis and Putin's deflating clout. Putin's mediation could become meaningless, especially in the case of Kadyrov and Prigozhin. </span><span style="font-family: arial;">Both managed to build their own states within the state and are preparing for looming disintegration to fight for what they consider is theirs. </span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Shoigu, on the other hand, had created his own vertical of power parallel to Putin's. The weaker Putin becomes, the stronger Shoigu is. Shoigu's ambition is to replace Putin and create a military state meant to destroy the West. Lately, weakening Putin to buy more time in power and preserve the visibility of power does exactly what Shoigu wants and, at the same time, plays a cover for Shoigu. </span></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></div><div dir="auto" style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-81320390759361821932023-05-06T05:12:00.020+02:002023-07-05T05:21:42.108+02:00Drone attack: Shoigu's attempt to force Putin to introduce martial law <p><span style="font-family: arial;"></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2Y6YkSoiefbq9bqmYyK8JnSyV8vaO08sjVH0Z6AyN1Vj4sMMvAQd4tpErbdy1PXVPTAFdh6TdS3tUSAcW67RxpnIPeav3ELsCljZ_Hb0bBdCg2e_k2jhs7OHSOLK8oaXNs_RCXI6v0lw1YypB7lPXMk5cYOoQly3KtoYAFUrs2_YH4XtF2mdufiC40iw/s1548/Screenshot%202023-07-04%20at%2011.13.02%20PM.png" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="780" data-original-width="1548" height="339" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh2Y6YkSoiefbq9bqmYyK8JnSyV8vaO08sjVH0Z6AyN1Vj4sMMvAQd4tpErbdy1PXVPTAFdh6TdS3tUSAcW67RxpnIPeav3ELsCljZ_Hb0bBdCg2e_k2jhs7OHSOLK8oaXNs_RCXI6v0lw1YypB7lPXMk5cYOoQly3KtoYAFUrs2_YH4XtF2mdufiC40iw/w674-h339/Screenshot%202023-07-04%20at%2011.13.02%20PM.png" width="674" /></a></span></div><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></span></span><p></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space-collapse: preserve;">Even if Putin tries to capitalize on the attack of drones on the Kremlin, the larger context shows it was Shoigu's way of forcing Putin to introduce martial law.</span></p><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Martial law would mean a de facto military coup, as levers of power would pass from Putin and FSB to Shoigu and the military.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Despite Putin's attempts to increase his influence in the army by 'rotating" generals, it is still loyal to Shoigu. Moreover, Shoigu has created his own PMC, which could overcome the army's combat capabilities.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">One thing is required of Putin - to sign the introduction of martial law, after which he and his clan will lose influence on the situation.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">The situation is similar to the start of the war. After Putin agreed to the special military operation, he lost control over the army. Even if he desperately tried to preserve the image of Russia's only and all-powerful ruler.<span><a name='more'></a></span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Shoigu had been preparing for this moment for years. He has built his parallel state within a state and can now easily take over the levers of power.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">But he can't afford an open revolt against the leader, which would contradict his ideological creed that the leader is God on Earth and everyone and everything should subordinate to him.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">This ideologeme is the cornerstone of the regime, Shoigu intends to build, and martial law is helpful. Also, martial law allows catching power without an open rebellion. Putin and his entourage, including FSB, will just become irrelevant and gradually lose their remains of control.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Shoigu's powers, on the contrary, will increase significantly. He would get control of the country (Moscow?) as he could confiscate any property, disarm any units, dictate media what to broadcast, etc. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Even if martial law doesn't provide for a total transfer of power to the military, the bureaucracy and the population will see this as legitimate.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">If Shoigu manages to replace Putin, martial law will become permanent. The army-state, conquering the world, is another cornerstone of Shoigu's ideology and master plan.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">If Putin's clan, including FSB, Rosgvardia, Prigozhin, Kadyrov(?), and multiple regional and oligarchic PMCs created lately, finally decide to neutralize Shoigu, this would lead to a civil war in Russia. A covert hybrid civil war or creeping military coup in Russia has been ongoing for years.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">All this makes the war in Ukraine irrelevant. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Prigozhin does realize this and has already declared that Wagner is withdrawing from Ukraine. If Putin's clan finally neutralizes Shoigu, the war should stop. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Russia should withdraw its military forces from Ukraine. Putin gets the chance to shift the responsibility for military crimes to Shoigu. And start negotiations about capitulation. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Shoigu is the ideologist of war in Ukraine and its primary executor. Russians will accept everything as the ultimate truth because Shoigu propagated frenzied militarization. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Russian propaganda will position capitulation as a victory against "dark forces." Prigozhin has already started a campaign against Shoigu. </div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Putin's attempts to neutralize Shoigu could finally succeed. But Shoigu could do the same if Putin fails. He will position Putin as evil and himself as a hero who neutralized him.</div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="animation-name: none; background-color: white; color: #050505; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, "system-ui", ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; transition-property: none; white-space-collapse: preserve;"><div dir="auto" style="animation-name: none; font-family: inherit; transition-property: none;">Whatever, the fight on who will hand over whom to the Hague court has started. The one who first withdraws troops from Ukraine will win.</div></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-46489914699270538112023-05-04T05:17:00.060+02:002023-07-08T04:56:30.494+02:00Kremlin drone strike, Russia's reflexive control, nukes and fake deals<div style="background-color: white;"><div dir="auto"><div class="x1iorvi4 x1pi30zi x1l90r2v x1swvt13" data-ad-comet-preview="message" data-ad-preview="message" id=":Rlal5bb9l5qq75b5klbaH2:" style="padding: 4px 16px 16px;"><div class="x78zum5 xdt5ytf xz62fqu x16ldp7u" style="display: flex; flex-direction: column; margin-bottom: -5px; margin-top: -5px;"><div class="xu06os2 x1ok221b" style="margin-bottom: 5px; margin-top: 5px;"><span class="x193iq5w xeuugli x13faqbe x1vvkbs xlh3980 xvmahel x1n0sxbx x1lliihq x1s928wv xhkezso x1gmr53x x1cpjm7i x1fgarty x1943h6x x4zkp8e x3x7a5m x1f6kntn xvq8zen xo1l8bm xzsf02u x1yc453h" dir="auto" style="-webkit-font-smoothing: antialiased; display: block; line-height: 1.3333; max-width: 100%; min-width: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; word-break: break-word;"><div class="xdj266r x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs x126k92a" style="margin: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div dir="auto"><h4 style="color: #1d2129; font-family: arial, tahoma, helvetica, freesans, sans-serif; margin: 0px; position: relative; text-align: left;"><span face="calibri, sans-serif" style="color: #222222;"><span face=""arial" , sans-serif" style="color: #666666;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"> UAObserver </span></span></span></h4><div><span face="calibri, sans-serif" style="color: #222222;"><span face=""arial" , sans-serif" style="color: #666666;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"><br /></span></span></span></div></div><table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBR5PMpR4eB4rlBNrYUHiHcq_IiTgKmTA6eVDtfNavpgjwoDKXB6lOQvp7Y2eet8hacoJBxLDjNGQ82f8kEWX8vOZbraPck96_S7J9xUO7qORtWGzRMHjoyzhjeGZALRO9SdfTPdILG5e311mNrM7tCbxYd34DUgCfG2z4wT4UDTHF7t9rKtvdkdmc/s942/Screenshot%202023-05-18%20at%208.48.47%20PM.png" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="458" data-original-width="942" height="315" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBR5PMpR4eB4rlBNrYUHiHcq_IiTgKmTA6eVDtfNavpgjwoDKXB6lOQvp7Y2eet8hacoJBxLDjNGQ82f8kEWX8vOZbraPck96_S7J9xUO7qORtWGzRMHjoyzhjeGZALRO9SdfTPdILG5e311mNrM7tCbxYd34DUgCfG2z4wT4UDTHF7t9rKtvdkdmc/w646-h315/Screenshot%202023-05-18%20at%208.48.47%20PM.png" width="646" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Who is behind the drone attack? Russia routinely blames US </span><br /></td></tr></tbody></table><br /><div dir="auto"><br /></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><br /></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span color="var(--primary-text)" style="font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;">The incident looks like a typical Russian false flag operation. The reason for this carefully staged performance could be Russia's attempt to turn the West against Ukraine. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Apparently, there is an agreement between Russia and the US at the level of security officials that Ukraine doesn't strike the Red Square in exchange for Russia doesn't use nuclear weapons.</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">However, the Kremlin is a legitimate target for the Ukrainian army, as Russia attacked Ukraine. </span><span style="font-family: arial;">"We don't attack Putin or Moscow. We fight on our territory. We are defending our villages and cities," Zelensky said, speaking on a visit to Finland.” </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: arial;"><span><a name='more'></a></span></span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The way how Zelensky immediately dismissed the probability of Ukraine’s drone attack demonstrates that Ukraine is limited by Western partners in attacking Russia and especially the Kremlin. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Zelensky’s statement was precisely what Russians would like to achieve with their carefully staged performance - to prevent Ukraine’s attacks on May 9 during the Victory Day Parade at Red Square. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Some bans were voiced openly, like yesterday's statement by German Canceler Olaf Scholz. Others, according to reputable American media, were made privately during the regular contacts between Russian and American security officials. </span></div><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">These are typical Russian deals when Moscow sells to the West hot air in exchange for real concessions. Another such deal is Russia’s promise to not use nuclear weapons, and the US, in exchange, doesn't supply Ukraine with F-16 and ATACMS or any other long-range enough missiles.</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The paradox of the deal is that Russia, as experts suggest, either does not have nuclear weapons or the remnants of them from Soviet times had been long expired. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">More precisely, Russia’s nuclear armament expired at the end of the 90s of the former century.</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The Russians do not know whether the missiles will target the goal Moscow intends to strike or they would explode on Russia's territory. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The 90-s conversion campaign meant to redirect the military-industrial complex to the production of civil goods has destroyed the factories where nuclear weapons could be produced. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Then the mines where nuclear strategic ballistic missiles are stored were filled with concrete and sealed tightly, according to the testimony of a well-informed close associate of Yeltsin.</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">If the new weapons are produced, they are produced as samples for intimidation and propaganda matters. Moreover, Russians don’t need them since artificially created videos of frightening weapons and animations of their fake capabilities are much more effective for demonstrating Russia's non-existent military power, even than expensive samples.</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The state of Russian weapons is reflected in the history of the ”Armata tank,” which has been widely advertised but never produced except for some defective samples.</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The same applies to the Poseidon drones – there is no need to produce them to intimidate the West. It is enough to describe a wonder weapon, and the West will get scared to death and unable to act. War is a way of deception. And nobody canceled it.</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The only weapon Moscow does possess is the capability to deter the adversary, based on information (or rather disinformation) that Russia does possess nuclear weapons in huge quantities. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">To create the right impression, Moscow usually conveys the information through international professional organizations that are either bought by the Kremlin or relay lies on trust.</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The Kremlin uses a scientific approach to promote disinformation meant to evoke the necessary reaction from the West. The virtual image of the threat of a nuclear attack evokes the same reaction of paralysis in Western power structures as the real threat. This is what Russia's Reflexive Control approach is about. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Therefore, it is enough to pose a threat using TV propagandists and former Russian president Dmitri Medvedev, who actively promote it. Such an approach does not necessitate getting involved in the physical arms race that ruined the Soviet Union. The lesson learned. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Why produce new nuclear weapons if the US and the West are initially superior to Russia and Moscow is anyway doomed to defeat; If no one will ever use nuclear weapons if Russia does not do it first, and if a threat of using nuclear weapons works the same way as a real weapon?</span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">It doesn’t mean Russia doesn’t produce weapons to attack the West. It means that Russia produces the kinds of weapons that the West can’t detect and counter. This resolves two main problems in warfare - eliminating both competition and retaliation, which are unavoidable in the case of nuclear weapons. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">"Alternative weapons" give Russia a huge advantage over the West and China, which Russia also struggles to contain. The only undetectable and out-of-competition weapons are the weapons prohibited by International conventions. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The West should not ban Ukraine’s attacks, as it defies common sense during the genocidal war Russia conducts against Ukraine.</span></div><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Imposing such a ban on Ukraine is the same as imposing a ban on attacking Hitler. </span></div></div><div class="x11i5rnm xat24cr x1mh8g0r x1vvkbs xtlvy1s x126k92a" style="color: var(--primary-text); margin: 0.5em 0px 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div dir="auto" style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The West should stop being a victim of Russia’s Reflexive control operations. Otherwise, the West risks "demise" (much advertised by Russia) from fear based on the pure bluff of the Kremlin.</span></div></div></span></div></div></div></div></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-47376049951862569342023-04-16T00:37:00.407+02:002023-07-10T01:43:35.036+02:00Ukraine's lack of necessary weapons dooms Kyiv and Washington to defeat<p><b style="color: #222222; font-family: calibri, sans-serif;"><span face=""arial" , sans-serif" style="background-color: white; color: #666666;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-weight: normal;"><b> UAObserver </b></span></span></b></p><p></p><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="626" data-original-width="1200" height="349" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgCFz1jeoKCvQTXTG8B_KaGR5B5qDp3a-shl3sdPLtUYJ9UkVr5H9M0f47PstuH-Zp-fZ-Gs6u2TS2zdnOPmR9oGOjrE7UKt8O42OB3iIBQJPZmDuHBPtIag4rxMeJA1_0_U2YSkoY3fLrPyhwTemD72sb7O9uNGeuq8CL2-9lHyxc61OGqqSN23LYw/w667-h349/Kahl.jpeg" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" width="667" /></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: arial; text-align: left;">The Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, Colin Kahl, is convinced that Ukraine doesn't need F-16 and long-range weapons in the counter-offensive against Russian invaders</span><span style="font-family: arial; text-align: left;"><br /></span></td></tr></tbody></table><p><span style="font-family: arial;"><span><b>Russian military trap in making</b></span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: arial;"><span>There is a really bizarre situation. The Russian propagandists, setting the main noise background of the war, talk about the counter-offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine but completely forget about the Russian offensive, which, apparently, is curtailed. </span><span>Wagner's Prigozhin declares the need to stop where Russian forces are and begin to defend already occupied positions.</span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Russian propagandists actively praise the Ukrainian army and depict Russia's future defeat in the decisive battle, thus encouraging Ukraine's counter-offensive. Why stop the Russian offensive and spread the defeatist scenarios? And is Moscow really scared by the Ukrainian army?</span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Not that simple. The Russian side relies on the Ukrainian counter-offensive to win as Moscow is convinced that Ukraine's army will lose without airplanes and long-range weapons. </span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Russia's calculation is that with predominance in the air Russian army will be able to stop Ukraine's counter-offensive, encircle unprotected Ukrainian troops and destroy them, and after that, launch a full-scale offensive against Ukraine. </span></p><h4 style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px; text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: arial;">Political decision-making vs. military </span></b></h4><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Despite massive Western military aid to Ukraine, Russia still has the advantage in airplanes and long-range weapons. Therefore, Ukraine's offensive on the ground without protection from the air benefits Russia's military enormously. <span></span></span></p><a name='more'></a><p></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">However, according to the Biden administration, Ukraine does not need either F-16 or long-range weapons in the battle, which is about to define the history of Europe. The Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, Colin Kahl, generated the view during his visit to Kyiv in January, and it became the general line of the White House.</span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Even though the conclusion is bizarre and defies military logic. The armored vehicles and tanks without adequate air support are beautiful and easy targets for the enemy. This is a truism for any military, but it is still not recognized by the Biden administration.</span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The final military decision crucial for European history and Biden's prestige matter takes civilian Colin Kahl. Any military would never make such a decision because of education and experience<span class="Apple-converted-space">. </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Due to Kahl's nonmilitary conclusion, Ukraine is positioned to suffer a decisive defeat, and it looks like someone in the Biden administration is interested in it. There is no other explanation for these phenomena – to spend a lot of money on military aid to Ukraine and let it be destroyed because of the lack of vital components it needs to win.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><b><span style="font-family: arial;">Russian Reflexive control works</span></b></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Urging the Armed Forces of Ukraine to attack Russian positions without appropriate weapons is suicidal for the Biden administration's internal affairs and the US political clout abroad.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The Biden administration not only deprives Ukraine of necessary weapons but bans Ukraine from attacking military targets on Russian territory. In both cases, the Biden administration offers a considerable advantage to Russia – the possibility of destroying Ukraine freely and with impunity.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The list of those interested in the defeat of Ukraine may consist of those who directly negotiate with Russia. Moscow knows what buttons to press in people's minds and how to recruit them and transform them into their agents - aware or unaware.</span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The range of means of influence is broad – from offering some irresistible incentives to intimidation and deceit. Russians use what is known as Reflexive control – the psychological technology of controlling the minds and actions of the enemy, making them inadvertently serve Russian interests.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The very fact of bilateral contact with the Russian side is already a risk factor. Russians are so versed in the dark art of buying people's souls that practically no one could resist them. </span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">As for intimidation and deceit, Russia's specialty is selling empty air in exchange for significant concessions. And this is precisely what happens when Russians promise the West not to use nuclear weapons which they don't intend to use anyway.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Therefore, there is nothing strange that the Biden Administration has no coherent, rational explanation for the irrational refusal to provide Ukraine with necessary weapons. However, there is a bilateral consensus in the US Congress that the US should supply Ukraine with essential weapons. </span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><b><span style="font-family: arial;">First counter-offensive, then weapons</span></b></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">There is no rational alternative to adequate weaponry supplies if the White House really wants Ukraine to win, not play along with Moscow.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Providing armored vehicles and tanks without long-range weapons and appropriate air defenses looks like a deliberate special operation designed to destroy the Ukrainian army, the West, and Western military aid to Ukraine to stop it.</span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The suggestion, "Let's see how successful the counter-offensive will be and then decide whether to offer F-16 and long-range weapons," sounds like a bad joke. Nobody could resurrect the Ukrainian army after destroying it in the intentionally destructive counter-offensive. </span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><b><span style="font-family: arial;">Historical catastrophe in making</span></b></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">From a historical perspective, if the West had provided such selective assistance to the Soviet Union during World War II, Hitler would have won. A new Hitler in the Kremlin is preparing to defeat the Ukrainian army.<span class="Apple-converted-space"> </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Urging the Armed Forces of Ukraine to attack Russian positions without the necessary weapons will be an epic failure in American history.</span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span><span style="font-family: arial;">Biden's encouraging rhetoric about unlimited American support to Ukraine means something only being accompanied by appropriate weapons. Otherwise, it only deflates Biden's and America's clout worldwide. Now, when authoritarian regimes conspire to destroy Western civilization, the West, as never before, needs a decisive victory in Ukraine. And the Ukrainian army is ready to deliver it. The West should do its part. </span></span></p><p class="p1" style="font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px 0px 0px;"><span style="font-family: arial;">Only a decisive victory in Ukraine can show the world that the West, with its values and principles, still exists and is alive, which, unfortunately, many countries have started doubting lately.</span></p><p class="p2" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size: 12px; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 0px; min-height: 14px;"><br /></p>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-46197726727452580852022-05-26T22:45:00.138+02:002023-07-05T23:33:33.735+02:00 Putin's "Food OPEC," Shoigu's reflexive control ops, and Ukraine's lonely "final stand" against Russia's horde<p><b><span style="color: #666666; font-family: arial;">UAObserver</span></b></p><div class="kvgmc6g5 cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql ii04i59q" style="background-color: white; margin: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh9pUevCKcuZp7ZgvI3VkIYhEZD6bzF_dl14HcSixhTQJV3H6McVwpUXNOYz86PbBuiuhBUeBPG5KyfUDm6oEoGDzVG3rajTGQq4yXqaIR9AL-Lwepwb2zAMvwYN4vdadgEcqE8POKXyaR5qMzb_26M1NV9XVq1pvaDJepWwl9GIpe1g11anTIemvhk/s976/Screenshot%202023-05-18%20at%2010.20.45%20PM.png" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><img border="0" data-original-height="486" data-original-width="976" height="328" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh9pUevCKcuZp7ZgvI3VkIYhEZD6bzF_dl14HcSixhTQJV3H6McVwpUXNOYz86PbBuiuhBUeBPG5KyfUDm6oEoGDzVG3rajTGQq4yXqaIR9AL-Lwepwb2zAMvwYN4vdadgEcqE8POKXyaR5qMzb_26M1NV9XVq1pvaDJepWwl9GIpe1g11anTIemvhk/w660-h328/Screenshot%202023-05-18%20at%2010.20.45%20PM.png" width="660" /></span></a></div><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">It appears that the US (and, even more so, European countries) still don't fully understand the implications of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and Putin's end game. Additionally, to oil and gas prices increase, food prices lately had risen by 50% after Russia launched the war against Ukraine.</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
But if the US allows Russia to occupy Ukraine, even partly, as some Russia-paid experts suggest to the Biden Administration to save Putin's face, world food prices will double.</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
Russia plans to dramatically increase its share of the world food market by capturing Ukraine's fertile black soils to be able to dictate world prices. Russia is obsessed with the idea of maximizing its clout in the world's food markets, especially after losing its gas influence over Europe and the world. Controlling the world's food market would significantly improve Russia’s geopolitical standing. <span><a name='more'></a></span></span></div><div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: arial;"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
Russia can't obtain this goal without Ukraine’s lands. Russia needs Ukraine's black soil to dominate the world food market. Fertile land makes up only 9% of Russia’s territory and up to 67% of Ukraine’s. </span><span style="color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">Russia's influence over world food prices is not a temporary fallout of war as the West thinks, but the primary strategic goal of Russia's war against Ukraine.</span></span></div><div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: arial;"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
Russia not only destroys everything in Ukraine to free the space for the industrial production of grain and other food products on Ukrainian chernozems. </span><span style="color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">Putin is so obsessed with the idea of world food market domination that it wipes out everything from the territory of Russia's chernozem for the same purpose. Early and out-of-season massive fires in Russia's South Siberia coincide with Russia's 9% of fertile soils. </span></span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
Moscow's desperate actions show Russia's fixation on dominating the world food market as soon as possible. Only by blocking Ukraine's seaports Russia has increased control over the world's food prices. Add to Russia's increased share on the world market a de facto acting already a kind of "Grain OPEC" with India, and you will get a preview of the future. Putin intends to dominate the world by starving and eliminating enemies and feeding up submissive regimes. </span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
Exactly as Russia managed to obtain energy domination over Europe and control over prices of oil and gas, now Moscow prepares to do the same with food on an even bigger scale. If earlier, Russia intended to freeze the dissent against its world domination, now Russia wants to starve it.</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
Food prices are even more effective leverage than fuel in potential regime changes around the globe. Most revolutions in the world started from food price rises on food and their shortages as this affects people’s basic needs. At the same time, the increase in food production is Putin’s guarantee that Russians will play along with his politics, whatever insane it is, as their primary needs are satisfied.</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
The chief goal of Putin’s attacks will be democracies. The Biden administration's approval rating already suffers from rising gas prices inside the US. If Russia captures Ukraine's chernozem, the food prices will increase exponentially, and the Biden Administration will be the first victim. The same challenges would face other Western governments unwilling to obey Russia’s rule. </span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
However, we see a tacit sabotage of Ukraine by the US and even more so by Germany, France, and Italy. All of them promised some "weapons," but later, sometime in July, when Russia would occupy and eradicate Ukraine by massively overwhelming it with its military force.</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
All this could happen despite big promises by the West, signed Lend-Lease, and assigned $40 bln to Ukraine's aid.
Timing is everything in this war. Nobody will be able to resurrect dead Ukrainian soldiers who massively dying these days, attempting to stop Russia's overwhelming horde.</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
I won't be amazed if Germany, promising some military help to Ukraine, secretly helps Russia. Such things happened after the Russian military aggression against Ukraine in 2014, when Germany, despite the sanctions, secretly continued to supply Russia with military equipment. Why not now?</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
Promoting Russia's "peace plan," implying depriving Ukraine of sovereignty and territorial integrity, is a massive help to Russia and explicit encouragement to further Moscow's invasion of Ukraine.</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
It is understandable why Germany, France, and Italy are sabotaging military help to Ukraine. This results from Russian propaganda imposed on their public and decision-makers, suggesting that America would increase its influence over Europe if Ukraine won. Russia plays this card masterfully to weaponize old Europe against Ukraine, exploiting their artificially created vulnerabilities. Do those countries really want to remain one-on-one with Russia without the US security umbrella? </span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
But why is the US sabotaging Ukraine by delaying supply with hard weapons supplies, especially the MLRS, and letting Russia occupy and destroy Ukraine and kill Ukrainians?</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
Did Russia’s Minister of Defence Sergei Shoigu make Lloyd Austin make a promise to not supply Ukraine with hard weapons during their conversation on the 13th of May? Shoigu is a poor military commander but a great manipulator, using his outstanding devious skills to handle both Putin and the Biden administration.</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
In such a case, by keeping the promise to Shoigu - the main driver behind Putin's genocidal war – the US betrays Ukraine – America's most devoted and potent ally in the region. Does it make any sense?</span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">A similar conversation between Shoigu and Lloyd Austin preceded the dire American withdrawal from Afghanistan staged in advance by Shoigu. Why repeat the same mistake of letting Russia destroy Ukraine by relying on a phony deal with Shoigu again?<br /></span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
Ukraine could become the Biden Administration's most significant victory or the biggest failure. Russia's plan to create a food cartel against the West is so critical for the US that Biden should send American troops to Ukraine and fight tooth and nail for Ukraine's sovereignty. </span></div><div dir="auto"><span style="font-family: arial;"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
The stakes are high. </span><span style="color: #050505; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">To protect the world from starving and growing Russia's evil clout, the West should act immediately, not appease and encourage Moscow's aggression against Ukraine, as this happens now by withdrawing military support to Ukraine. </span></span></div><div dir="auto"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, system-ui, .SFNSText-Regular, sans-serif" style="color: #050505; font-family: arial; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;">
If the West thinks it acts smart by postponing aid to Ukraine, it is wrong. The West just demonstrates suicidal behavior resulting from Russian propaganda and Reflexive control ops.</span></div><div dir="auto" style="color: #050505; font-family: inherit; font-size: 14px; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></div></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-26957175943387726202020-01-14T00:03:00.007+01:002023-05-19T10:33:47.708+02:00Steinmeier Formula: from War of Attrition to War of Annihilation<div style="color: #1c1e21; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 6px;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh75N5gBVeoVHjiQQpb0dM9ZQRviHTcI0GrvmmGp2gb8xbl_i3uzjzPvC9Y9v2qYFc6Q1qoWxdMywNkRGh-nsmQZiOXECUN0fAExjdYWRA5ok40HUwDX4w_c-SBZoosvjFTFEuJvoHTdqIqBdN7JAqxt2o4grAat-4b_ul7CkPCP63nFhtLR070A-nM/s1128/Screenshot%202023-05-19%20at%204.32.34%20AM.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="544" data-original-width="1128" height="311" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh75N5gBVeoVHjiQQpb0dM9ZQRviHTcI0GrvmmGp2gb8xbl_i3uzjzPvC9Y9v2qYFc6Q1qoWxdMywNkRGh-nsmQZiOXECUN0fAExjdYWRA5ok40HUwDX4w_c-SBZoosvjFTFEuJvoHTdqIqBdN7JAqxt2o4grAat-4b_ul7CkPCP63nFhtLR070A-nM/w646-h311/Screenshot%202023-05-19%20at%204.32.34%20AM.png" width="646" /></a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">Russia continues its war against Ukraine, concentrates its military forces on the border with Ukraine, massively increases its military presence inside the occupied Donbas, and simultaneously demands Ukrainian military disengagement as a precondition for the Normandy Summit of Four. Such a demand is pure nonsense. </span><p></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">What does Zelensky expect from the Normandy Summit of Four - signing a capitulation in the presence of Putin, Merkel, and Macron? It would be suicidal not only for Zelensky and Ukraine but also for Europe as this would lead to a large-scale Syria kind of war in Europe, replacing controllable Russian partial occupation of Ukraine. </span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">Now Russia is leading a war of attrition against Ukraine. The recognition of the Russian military exclave inside Ukraine would provoke Moscow to start a war of annihilation against Ukraine while pretending to be a peace-maker. <span></span><span></span></span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"> </span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><b>Shoigu already promised "to stop Ukrainian extremists" and regretted that "it was not done earlier."<span></span></b></span></p><a name='more'></a><p></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><br /></span></p><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">In his view, the extremist is every Ukrainian who doesn't want to rejoin the "Great Russian Empire." What Shoigu means by "stopping extremism" everyone can see in Syria, where Russia physically destroyed and ousted about two-thirds of the population in favor of the minority sect of the Alawites, which before the war made about 15% of the population.</span></div><div style="color: #1c1e21; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 6px;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">The Normandy Four Summit is much more dangerous than even the absurd preconditions Russia advances. The Summit is a typical Russian entrapment that Zelensky is either unable to comprehend, being a novice in politics, or intentionally plays into Russians' hands, blinded by his inner circle with business interest in Russia.</span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">Andrey Yermak - Zelensky's Envoy to the negotiations and his Aide in the Presidential Office, has a long-term Russian business partner close to Putin. Somebody who doesn't want a large-scale war in Europe should stop Zelensky from participating in this suicidal and nonsensical Summit before it is too late.</span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><br /></span></p><h3 style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">Normandy Summit of Four: Rape of One by Three</span></h3><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">Why do Merkel and Macron insist on this Summit and thus support Russia's aggression? Both are elected due to Russian help. Merkel rejected Ukraine's membership in NATO, which made her Putin's favorite forever. </span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">At the beginning of the Russian aggression in 2014, Merkel flew to Washington to convince Obama to withdraw military support to Ukraine, which could prevent the war. It was a strong Euro-Atlantic political message to Putin to continue aggression against Ukraine.</span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">Macron needs reelection soon, which explains his enthusiasm for promoting Russia's perverse interests. Europe should not become a hostage to unscrupulous politicians. Macron even bothered to attend the Council of Europe to endorse Russian return, which provoked a demarche of several European countries. </span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-family: arial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">The EU pretends to have a role in Europe - even received a Nobel Prize for Peace, but it has withdrawn from this dangerous situation. The EU should manage the problem, not just the leaders of two European countries with individual and business interests. </span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #0e101a; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><span data-preserver-spaces="true" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-top: 0pt;">Otherwise, the Normandy Summit of Four would mean a rape of One by Three. Ukrainian people will never accept the capitulation to Russia as this would mean a massive war escalation, not peace</span><span style="color: #1c1e21;">.</span></span></p></div><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span><br />
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-11642354826266882532020-01-12T15:53:00.003+01:002023-07-05T23:55:29.498+02:00Could be 'Russian trace' behind Ukrainian plane downing? <h3><b><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="color: #666666;"> <span style="font-family: arial;">UAObserver
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6JsLhc9P4ecPNCD2bDcQ4s00kzhsF_n4Oc4wojYsIOZMMTonby0WydWH686On-FXxsup8jEZB334hxBZV84Qv1X-znJr2DqUqG9RPlOroyge4jpKN0gmyI2IDgR8eiUg_1hWKclH5f338CYDGG9jAgzk5EsT1w9nBKaY7GWuW-MgQsvo9jJlqSLtM/s958/Screenshot%202023-05-18%20at%2010.27.25%20PM.png" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="438" data-original-width="958" height="306" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh6JsLhc9P4ecPNCD2bDcQ4s00kzhsF_n4Oc4wojYsIOZMMTonby0WydWH686On-FXxsup8jEZB334hxBZV84Qv1X-znJr2DqUqG9RPlOroyge4jpKN0gmyI2IDgR8eiUg_1hWKclH5f338CYDGG9jAgzk5EsT1w9nBKaY7GWuW-MgQsvo9jJlqSLtM/w671-h306/Screenshot%202023-05-18%20at%2010.27.25%20PM.png" width="671" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px;"><span face="system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif">The often-asked question lately could be ‘Russian trace’ behind the downing Ukrainian plane? </span></div>
<div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;">While Iranians don't have a reason to hit a Ukrainian plane, Russia does have a clear motive. Therefore. the “Russian trace” should not be discarded. </div>
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Since 2013, Russia has methodically pressured Ukraine into obedience by different military and terrorist means, using a false flag operation approach. The downing of the Ukrainian plane in Baghdad could be another false flag operation meant to increase pressure on Ukraine and personally on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. </div>
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The owner of the downed aircraft is a Ukrainian oligarch and one of Zelensky's close allies and sponsor of his campaign Kolomoisky. Downing the plane is a kind of threat to both Zelensky and Kolomoisky of what they should expect if they don't obey Russia. </div>
<a name='more'></a><span style="color: #1d2129; font-family: arial;">In the first week of January, in Oman, Zelensky continued intense negotiations with Russians, presumably with Surkov, started in Paris in the Normandy format. </span><span style="color: #1d2129; font-family: arial;">It looks like Zelensky has disappointed both Putin in Paris and Surkov in Oman by rejecting their exaggerated demands. </span><div>
<div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;">Previously Zelensky has voiced his inclination to one-sided concessions to Russians, which they saw as a weakness. Putin decided that increased pressure on Zelensky could break his will to oppose Russia. </div>
<div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;">By destroying Kolomoisky's valuable asset, Putin intended to weaken Zelensky, as weakening his supporter should make him less independent and more vulnerable to Russian influence.</div>
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The downing was produced to allow claiming the pilot's error or malfunctioning of the plane. For their terrorist attack, the Russians used the chaotic conflict between Iran and the U.S. </div>
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The terrorist attack happened after Putin's and Shoigu's visit to Syria on the 7th of January, when they had a meeting with the Iranian military accompanied by their Russian instructors. </div>
<div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;">Russia-produced weaponry in Iran is served by Russian instructors. </div><div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;">Thus, it was quite easy for them to down the plane and pretend that this shooting was an "unintended mistake."</div><div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;"> Iranians could be even not aware that Russians simply used them as a false flag and do believe that there really was an unintentional shooting.</div>
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Therefore, Iran's denial of the shooting and its later acceptance could be genuine. However, the shooting happened in their territory, and, whatever the circumstances, they are responsible for it. </div>
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The video of the plane crash proves that the downing was intended and premeditated. It starts exactly when the shooting occurred, continues with the missile damaging the plane, and finishes after the downing of the plane. </div>
<div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;">However, making the video at the precise moment of the attack couldn't be a coincidence. Moreover, the video was made as a report on the accomplishment of the operation. Later, the video was leaked to Telegram and became a piece of evidence. </div>
<div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;">
Another proof of the premeditated nature of the plane downing is another video, a doctored one, which was spread soon after the crash. It should prove that the downing resulted from either pilot's mistake or the defective state of the plane, not from hitting by a missile.</div>
<div style="caret-color: rgb(29, 33, 41); color: #1d2129; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif; margin-bottom: 6px; margin-top: 6px;">There are more precedents of the Russian downing of foreign planes. One of them is the downing of the plane of the President of Poland, Kachinsky, in 2010, which beheaded the Polish elite. However, the case was not investigated properly until today. Another case is the downing of the passenger plane NH17<span face="system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, ".SFNSText-Regular", sans-serif"> by the Russian military in Russia-occupied Donbas in 2014. The case also was not investigated properly as the real perpetrators were not even named. </span></div>
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The impunity of previous cases led Russia to use a similar terrorist attack again, this time in Baghdad. If the case is buried in the name of political expedience, as in previous ones, there will be more such cases in the future. And the acting politicians will be responsible for them.</div>
</div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-46621357240959162512019-12-16T16:26:00.005+01:002023-07-05T22:59:59.615+02:00What's next: To save Putin's face or Ukraine?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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<b style="color: #222222; font-family: calibri, sans-serif;"><span face=""arial" , sans-serif" style="background-color: white; color: #666666;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-weight: normal;"><b>By Irina Severin</b></span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-weight: normal;"> </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="font-weight: normal;"><b> | UAObserver </b></span></span></b></h3></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Calibri, sans-serif; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /><table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYDBtxnhV3lRCD4uvPUQYbLhdajDpk6Cz0rHpo01D5o08j0ilYobbiQzV4r5k_6IaYKwat36tZm51PvUa4uRnOX9a_bdoMesPdU9bK5yPBhnCjamXmwHIWq1J-LvSTtFhSEhz46gOjWn2GWGVYdLtbyqtSPido2NioxZJMeoFT_KPUzdjF_KD0Kono/s898/Screenshot%202023-05-19%20at%204.44.54%20AM.png" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="478" data-original-width="898" height="358" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgYDBtxnhV3lRCD4uvPUQYbLhdajDpk6Cz0rHpo01D5o08j0ilYobbiQzV4r5k_6IaYKwat36tZm51PvUa4uRnOX9a_bdoMesPdU9bK5yPBhnCjamXmwHIWq1J-LvSTtFhSEhz46gOjWn2GWGVYdLtbyqtSPido2NioxZJMeoFT_KPUzdjF_KD0Kono/w675-h358/Screenshot%202023-05-19%20at%204.44.54%20AM.png" width="675" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Frightened Putin after the downing of the Malaysian Boeing<br /><br /><br /></td></tr></tbody></table></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><span face=""arial" , sans-serif" style="background-color: white; color: #1c1e21; font-family: Calibri, sans-serif; font-size: 14px;"><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">Now that the Minsk agreement has proved incapable of ending Russia's war against Ukraine, it is important to remember the context in which it emerged. Why did negotiations take place in Minsk?</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">After the downing of Boeing NH17 and the Illovaisk tragedy, when the Russian military massively shot Ukrainian captives, Putin became a war criminal and was afraid that if he went to the West, he would be arrested. That is why it was decided to hold the negotiations in Minsk.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">Then, in a strange way, all the efforts of the West were aimed at making Putin save face in exchange for the withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukraine. Multiple Western articles called "Let Putin save face." The phrase was repeated like a mantra.<span></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">For the same reason - saving Putin's face, "Minsk-1" did not blame Russia for military aggression against Ukraine but acknowledged the alleged "internal conflict" in Ukraine. Accordingly, the agreement envisaged mutual withdrawal of troops and offering special status to the Russia-occupied territories - all the measures for resolving internal conflicts which did not exist in Ukraine. The "harmless" lie imposed by Merkel on Ukraine was meant to achieve the main goal of saving Putin's face. <span><a name='more'></a></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">These measures had nothing to do with ending external aggression and occupation. It was like treating dysentery with cough drops and hoping for a cure. But this is exactly what the Normandy format and the West as such have been doing for the last 5 years.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">Poroshenko was on the phone with Surkov in those days, just as Zelensky is doing it now. And Surkov described to him how everything would be fine if he made concessions.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">With such support from the West, Putin not only did not withdraw his troops from Ukraine but began to increase his military presence in the occupied territory and, by forcing the fake idea of an internal conflict, presented himself as a peacemaker and mediator who has nothing to do with the war.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">Now he is not only not afraid to leave for the West but also dictates his conditions to the West and scares the West with Srebrenica, which he himself created in eastern Ukraine.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">Volodymyr Zelensky, who came to power thanks to the Russian propaganda against Poroshenko, which he willingly supported, gave Putin even more confidence. His electoral slogan was, "It is enough just to stop the shooting, and the war will finish." But now Zelensky himself is in the situation of Poroshenko and should begin to understand what is actually happening.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">At this point, there are only two ways - either to continue to save Putin's criminal face along with Russia's camouflaged as an "internal conflict" war against Ukraine or to start saving Ukraine and calling a spade a spade - the only thing that can lead to an end to aggression. There is no third way.</div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">The West must finally understand that the strategy of saving Putin's face is not working. It only leads to a further escalation of Russian aggression, and not only in Ukraine.</div></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Calibri, sans-serif; margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><br /></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-7429249881655346952018-11-09T11:18:00.004+01:002023-07-05T23:37:07.057+02:00 Europeans cover up Russia's preparation for further military attacks on Ukraine <span style="color: #666666; font-family: arial;">UAObserver</span><br /><div><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: left;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5ewhvkbXj3X6L5IEZFqDzLCoTdu9T3cBHejx2keFA27BIVsbuCv7LiOwbRDwjfa6HK4bv6oOKNcvJja6EToiHEbvrgg74tceaMjEmd8eNbtlrSvX1Xm3aWS-RRbiqTcUiVXrTSZf1RYJIzIkOWVPh8S0fUtNoON6hSy4DFJ-xsbEpP5guyYDcIEXY/s1880/Screenshot%202023-05-19%20at%204.19.57%20AM.png" style="clear: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1016" data-original-width="1880" height="362" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi5ewhvkbXj3X6L5IEZFqDzLCoTdu9T3cBHejx2keFA27BIVsbuCv7LiOwbRDwjfa6HK4bv6oOKNcvJja6EToiHEbvrgg74tceaMjEmd8eNbtlrSvX1Xm3aWS-RRbiqTcUiVXrTSZf1RYJIzIkOWVPh8S0fUtNoON6hSy4DFJ-xsbEpP5guyYDcIEXY/w670-h362/Screenshot%202023-05-19%20at%204.19.57%20AM.png" width="670" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><h4 style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: arial; font-size: small; font-weight: normal;">France and Germany's joint statement plays into Russia's hands</span></h4></td></tr></tbody></table><span style="font-family: arial;"> <span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">The author of the <span style="color: #e06666;"><a href="http://khpg.org/en/index.php?id=1541732222&fbclid=IwAR1tbNHUw2ApRKGRk5vt9e6hO23d4H-E64OepRPysCqmiChgb_sYsXczO9c" target="_blank">article</a> </span>with telling title “Russia demands prior warning after OSCE drone catches it transporting weapons of death to Ukraine by night” highlights that "<a href="https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/en/newsroom/news/germany-france-attack-osce-smm/2156798" style="color: #954f72;">The Joint Statement from France and Germany </a>was undiplomatically blunt in its message. It not only condemned the downing of the drone but stated that:</span></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><blockquote class="tr_bq"><span style="font-family: arial;">
<span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">“Evidence collected by SMM suggests Russia and the separatists it backs bear responsibility for the targeting and downing of the LR UAV, blinding the mission at this particular spot."</span></span></blockquote></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">However, mentioning inexistent "separatists" - the notion which is a product of Russian propaganda from the very beginning </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">gives Russia an ideal pretext for plausible deniability.</span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"> </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Russian hybrid and later military occupation from the start was orchestrated as a fake separatist uprising using propaganda and other deception tools. </span><br />
</span><a name='more'></a><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /><span face="arial, helvetica, sans-serif">In fact, DNR and LNR were created as false flag operations to cover Russia’s hybrid and direct military aggression and occupation. Thus, by mentioning "separatists" in the official document, France and Germany play exactly into Russia’s hands. </span></span></div>
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<h4 style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: arial; font-size: small;">Europeans play along with Russia's falsehood </span></h4><span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Europeans' blind eye approach lets Moscow continue pretending that there are some apart entities independent in their decision-making from Moscow. In reality,<b> </b>DNR and LNR are Russia's colonial administration entities on the occupied territories. </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"> Styled as an “undiplomatically blunt message,” in fact, the message is favoring Russia as it depicts the Russian version of reality. </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Was this done intentionally, or is this just a sign of incompetence? Whatever the reason, the statement strengthens Russia's distorted "parallel reality" in such a way as to advance Russia's position. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">If France and Germany want to continue to play the Russian game, they will keep receiving sneering replies from </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Russia's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova</span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"> </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">about their “unsubstantiated allegations in anti-Russian mode” as well as propositions to "wait until the end of the investigation" and the most laughable "that the DPR/LPR militants had already expressed willingness to cooperate in an ‘investigation.’ </span><br />
<span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"><br /></span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">It is clear from the very beginning that the so-called DNR and LNR are ruled directly from Moscow, and any dissent on the colonial administration side is punished either by death or exile. O</span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">therwise, to keep the West duped, Moscow continues staging fake elections in the occupied region. Obviously, staging has nothing in common with real elections, and "the winners" are appointed in advance. </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;">Either the Western players will start to name the things by their names, or they inevitably will continue being obedient actors in Russia's staged version of reality. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">De facto recognition of DNR and LNR as independent players take off the responsibility from Russia, offering Moscow the noble status of a mediator instead of an aggressor. This explains the Russian claim to coordinate the movement of OSCE drones with Moscow, as Russia wants to maintain the possibility of transporting weapons to their hybrid army in DNR and LNR. </span></span><h4 style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: arial; font-size: small;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">"PMC Wagner":</span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"> false flag operation imitating "Ukrainian separatists"</span></span></h4><span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">So-called <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wagner_Group"> PMC Wagner</a> is also </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Russia's artificially created false flag operation imitating inexistent "Ukrainian separatists," whose purpose is to ensure Russia's plausible deniability and shield the Russian state from the responsibility for military crimes. </span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;">Repeating Russian propaganda notions like "separatists" only strengthens the Russian position on occupied territory. Notion "separatists" defies common sense - how can Russian occupying military force be named "separatists"? What is it separated from? </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"><br /></span> <span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">The question is, why the West obediently repeats this nonsense?</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">I wrote many times since the first day of the covert occupation in 2014 that the choice of words for describing the situation plays a crucial role. </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Then the occupation was covert, masquerading as an uprising (carefully staged by Russians). </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Now the occupation is open, but the Europeans still pretend that nothing special happens.</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">There never was any allusion to separatism in Donbas. The notion was artificially created to manipulate Western decision-makers using existing stereotypes. </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"> A simple fake notion, </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">"separatists" </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">let Russia for years delude the West into submission and use their false flags, DNR and LNR, for the plausible deniability of the crimes committed by the Russian military in the region. </span><br />
<span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"><br /></span> <span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Btw, why did Russia create two entities instead of one? According to Russia's plan, which Moscow plans to implement, the federalized Ukraine should have three entities with equal rights. In such a case, two entities, DNR and LNR, would always overweight the rest of Ukraine as a third entity. </span></span><h4 style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: arial; font-size: small;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"> </span><b>Red Herring statement</b></span></h4></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">
<span style="font-family: arial;">Moreover, the Statement by Germany and France on the recent attack against equipment of the OSCE Special Monitoring Mission in Ukraine, complaining about a destroyed OSCE drone, mostly ignores the evidence that Russia transports military weaponry to the region under the pretext of humanitarian convoys including deadly surface-to-air missile system, a weapon that can destroy thousands live in minutes. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Obviously, Russia likes the so-called "undiplomatically blunt" reaction of the Europeans and will gladly repeat the trick as a red herring diverting attention from the main subject </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">whenever the Russian military will transport the deadly weapons to the occupied territory.</span><br />
<span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"><br /></span> <span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">The statement plays exactly into Moscow's hands by diverting attention from Russian preparations for the new military assault on Ukraine. Fake elections in the occupied region also make part of the getting ready for war. Russia needs legitimization (at least fake) of the occupied territory - so-called DNR and LNR as "independent states"</span> to be able to pretend that they are ruled not by the colonial administration appointed by Moscow but by a pretended "democratically elected government." </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">
<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"><br /></span> <span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Staged elections will offer Moscow a green light for the further occupation of Ukraine under the false flag of artificially created would be "popular republics." France and Germany, in advance, granted Russia a gift of plausible deniability de facto, provoking next Russia's aggression. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: arial;">Europeans' reactions guarantee that France and Germany, in any situation, will complain again about their precious equipment like drones but ignore Russia's military crimes. As far as it works, Russia will use the trick. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;">However, if the main task for France and Germany is to save intact equipment, why bother. Just keep your equipment at home. There is no added value in using it anyway. Quite the opposite, it diverts attention from the really important thing - escalating Russian military presence in the region. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><h4 style="text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: arial; font-size: small;">European Army? Or Russia's weapon?</span></b></h4></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;">
<span style="font-family: arial;">One more thought. With such attachment to equipment safety and ignoring reality as Germany and France demonstrate, the idea of the European Army advanced recently by Macron looks even more absurd. </span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div><div class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0.0001pt;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">Would France and Germany every time issue tearful statements and issue complaints to the enemy that it destroys their equipment? I</span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">n such a case, isn't it better to just give up to the aggressor from the start, as </span><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif">during WWII, </span><a href="https://www.dw.com/en/emmanuel-macron-honors-nazi-collaborator/a-46197361?fbclid=IwAR25mfX_GdkdyIu0HXvVyS8KWYUs8tn6ktfNoEFS2plKP8lLK7cavigYN_U" style="color: #954f72;"><b>Nazi collaborator</b></a><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif"> General Philippe Petain, whom Macron honors as a national hero, did?</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;">The statement demonstrates that Germany and France did take the course on Russia’s appeasement. Nothing strange that the European Army idea <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-defence/european-defense-coalition-launched-in-paris-idUSKCN1NC291" style="color: #954f72;"><b>launched</b></a> these days under Germany and France's leadership is a long-term Putin scenario designed to destroy Euro-Atlantic Unity and NATO.</span></div>
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</div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-53748596391089026732016-11-13T17:08:00.004+01:002023-07-08T19:12:24.810+02:00Russia intends to impose Transnistrization scheme on Ukraine <span style="font-family: arial;"><span face="" style="white-space: pre-wrap;"><b style="white-space: normal;"><span face="" style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-size: medium;">By Irina Severin | UAObserver </span></b></span></span><div><span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="color: #999999; font-size: medium;"><b><br /></b></span>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">The victory of the pro-Moscow candidate <a href="http://www.dw.com/en/pro-russia-candidate-igor-dodon-to-win-moldova-presidential-election/a-36379350" target="_blank"><span style="color: blue;"><b>Igor Dodon</b></span></a> in the Presidential election in Moldova is not only the EU's loss</span><span face=""><span style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span></span><span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">of the popularity contest to Russia but a sign of a complete failure of the EU policy in the region.</span><br />
<span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span> <span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">The EU loses its position even though it</span><span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"> offers a massive amount of aid to the country and pays a significant part of its budget. However, the public either does not know about this or sees this as a</span><span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"> </span><span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">bribing of Moldovan authorities by the EU bureaucrats as Russian propaganda touts this.</span><br />
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During the last decade, Moscow has run a relentless disinformation campaign in Moldova. Still, there are no signs of informing the public about the EU assistance, neither the EU nor the Moldovan authorities.</span><br />
<span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span> <span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">Moreover, <a href="https://tv.pgtrk.ru/ru/news/20130117/1143"><span style="color: blue;"><b>the money paid by the EU</b></span></a> for years for the construction and renovation of kindergartens, hospitals, and schools in Transnistria (not in Moldova!) is attributed by the locals to Moscow and seen as Russian investment in the region's development. <span><a name='more'></a></span></span><span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span> <span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">Both the population in Transnistria and in Moldova are sure that this is Moscow's support for Transnistria as the region is the territory occupied by Russia, which was <a href="http://euromaidanpress.com/2017/06/06/european-court-of-human-rights-ruled-russia-responsible-for-transnistria/"><b>recognized</b></a> by </span><span face="" style="background-color: #fcfcfc;">the ECHR<span style="color: #545454;"><span style="caret-color: rgb(84, 84, 84);">. The p</span></span></span><span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">resence of the 14th Russian Army makes Transnistria Russia's military outpost in Europe. </span><br />
<span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span><span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">EU's financial assistance to the breakaway region paradoxically is one of the reasons why Moldovans want "more Russia" in Moldova and vote for Dodon, who promised to bring more Russian help. On the opposite side, the EU got an image of the force corrupting authorities but don't help the population in Moldova. Strangely, the EU's contribution to Transnistria's development instead of making Moldova more attractive for the Moldovans from Transnistria played exactly into Russian hands. </span><br />
<span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span> <span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">If a couple of years ago, most Moldovans favored European integration. Lately, getting closer to Russia is about 50 percent of Moldova. </span><br />
<span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span> <span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">Furthermore, after obtaining such success in Moldova and Transnistria, Moscow is trying to impose the same model on the occupied territories in Ukraine. Russia would like to preserve its military and administrative power In Donbas but make Europeans pay for the reconstruction of the Donbas region, which was occupied by the Russian military. </span><br />
<span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span> <span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">The logic is simple - if this scheme works for Russia in Transnistria and Moldova, why not impose the same scheme on Ukraine?</span><br /><br />
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: arial; font-size: small; white-space: pre-wrap;">Transnistization scheme as inspiration for Russia to occupy Donbas</span></h3><div><span style="background-color: white; font-family: arial; font-size: small; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span></div>
<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">From the start, the corrupt "Transnistrian scheme" was a model that Moscow conceived as the basis for Moscow's plan for Donbas. In fact, the Donbas military campaign was initiated to impose the Transnistrization model on Ukraine. Without such a model in Moldova, Moscow would never occupy Donbas.</span><br />
<span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span> <span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">The Transnistrian model provides the Minsk agreement - legalization of the Russian military base in Ukraine, assuring its funding by Western donors with gradual "Transnistrisation" of Ukraine as this happened in Moldova.</span><br />
<span face="" style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br /></span> <span face=""><span style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;">Another Moldovan scheme that Moscow failed to impose on Moldova but still intends to implement in Ukraine is the Memorandum Kozak scheme. Russia created two would-be republics in the East of Ukraine to federalize Ukraine and impose equal rights on all three entities, making the rest of Ukraine lose in score 1: 2 to two artificially created by Moscow republics. </span></span></span><div><span style="background-color: white; white-space: pre-wrap;"><span style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></span><div><span face=""><span style="background-color: white; font-family: arial; white-space: pre-wrap;">The same scheme was achieved in Moldova by creating three federation subjects, including two pro-Russian entities Transnistria and Gagauzia, against one Moldova. In Moldova, the deal failed at the last moment, but why not try the same trick in Ukraine? </span></span></div></div></div>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-35572302673344626172016-10-21T23:00:00.001+02:002023-07-08T19:18:49.974+02:00 "Minsk-3" and psychological arsenal of Kremlin<h4>
<span style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-size: small;"> </span><b style="background-color: white; caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34); color: #222222; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13.2px;"><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="color: #666666; font-size: small;">By Irina Severin | UAObserver </span></b></h4>
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<div style="color: #1b1b1b; max-width: 100%;"><span style="font-family: arial;">The October talks in the Normandy format in Berlin, which have already been dubbed the Minsk-3, and the events around them showed the Kremlin’s psychological arsenal, which it uses in the fight against the West.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="max-width: 100%;">Arsenal is very effective, judging by the results of the negotiations.</span> <span style="max-width: 100%;">Putin managed to convince European partners that the elections should be held before the withdrawal of Russian troops and weapons from Ukraine and until Ukrainian control over the border was restored, which, as Putin promised (everyone knows the price of his promises, but they believed him) will be transferred to Ukraine at the second day after the elections.</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="max-width: 100%;">As the correspondent of Kommersant Kolesnikov reported from the event, having access to the body of, if not Putin, then Surkov, Merkel several times set aside obstinate Poroshenko and, after talking with her, he agreed to everything.</span> <span style="max-width: 100%;">As a result, Putin managed to put a squeeze on Poroshenko. In exchange, Putin</span><span style="max-width: 100%;"> agreed to the introduction of the military mission of <span style="max-width: 100%;">OSCE.</span></span> It seems<span style="max-width: 100%;"> Putin intends to expand the mission at the expense of the Russian military, which already controls the OSCE Mission of Observers and is seen in the transfer of intelligence information to the Russian occupation army (in its hybrid version).</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: arial; max-width: 100%;">On the other hand, any decision which Putin agrees to can be blocked by the heads of the so-called DNR and LNR, appointed and led by Moscow but pretending to be independent if Putin doesn't want to implement an agreement. In fact, these pretended republics are Putin's military outposts, whose pretended independence from Russia assures Putin plausible deniability in case of their military aggression or refusal to accept OSCE military mission. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial; max-width: 100%;">The same trick for decades Russia uses in Moldova, where totally dependent on Russia Transnistria, when necessary to Moscow, pretends to have a right to make independent decisions. The difference between Transnistria and Donetsk region is the fact that Transnistria is based Russian Army division, but in so-called DNR and LNR - a hybrid Russian Army known as ChVK Wagner, gives Putin an additional pretext for plausible deniability in case of accusation of military crimes committed by the Russian military in the region. </span></div>
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<span style="max-width: 100%;">It is curious that at the suggestion of Russian propaganda, these hybrid divisions - the GhVK Wagner - are called "separatists."</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="max-width: 100%;">It was noticeable that Merkel was in a hurry to close the issue with Ukraine, satisfying Putin’s demands in order to move quickly to the issue of Syria.</span> <span style="max-width: 100%;">In essence, during the talks, Ukraine will exchange Ukraine for Putin’s promises on Syria, which have long been feared.</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="max-width: 100%;">Although it is clear that Putin is not going to fulfill the promise.</span> <span style="max-width: 100%;">Moreover, the more effectively blackmail works with the resumption of the genocide in Syria, the more willing Putin will resort to it.</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="max-width: 100%;">Putin managed to soften the claims of Merkel and Hollande to destroy Aleppo civilians (beat Merkel’s trump card) with a simple focus — the day before, the Russian propaganda machine launched misinformation that the Belgian planes allegedly killed civilians.</span> </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial; max-width: 100%;">It is clear to everyone that this is not true, but the human brain is working in such a way that even if, at the level of rational level, it understands that this is not true, the colorful pictures artificially created by the propaganda put pressure on the emotional sphere and inevitably cause a feeling of guilt.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="max-width: 100%;">The emotional sense of guilt, deliberately caused by Putin, explains the EU’s inability to take action against Russia in Syria.</span> <span style="max-width: 100%;">Putin, unlike the West, knows perfectly well that the emotional sphere of the brain influences decision-making much more than the rational one, which is usually occupied with finding a rationale for a decision made on the basis of irrational emotions.</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="max-width: 100%;">As a result, Putin won a clear victory over European leaders, even without resorting to arms.</span> <span style="max-width: 100%;">Unless, of course, of intentional intimidation of Europeans.</span> <span style="max-width: 100%;">The act of intimidation causes images in consciousness, comparable by a power of perception to the real act of violence, which determines what decision would be made.</span><br />
<span style="max-width: 100%;"><br style="max-width: 100%;" /></span><span style="max-width: 100%;">Given the success of the use of psychological weapons, Putin will continue to use them and gain victories if all the psychological tricks he uses are not analyzed in detail, and their effects are countered in advance.</span> As for now, nothing<span style="max-width: 100%;"> dramatic has happened yet, as</span> <span lang="en-US" style="max-width: 100%;">Minsk-3 is</span> <span lang="en-US" style="max-width: 100%;">rather</span> an attempt to postpone <span style="max-width: 100%;"><span lang="en-US" style="max-width: 100%;">but</span></span><span lang="en-US" style="max-width: 100%;"> </span><span style="max-width: 100%;"><span lang="ru-RU" style="max-width: 100%;">not</span></span> resolve the <span style="max-width: 100%;"><span lang="ru-RU" style="max-width: 100%;">problem</span><span lang="en-US" style="max-width: 100%;">.</span></span></span></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-82156083892525683752016-10-21T14:37:00.000+02:002019-10-12T22:37:14.804+02:00"Минск-3" и психологический арсенал Кремля<b><span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">By Irina Severin | UAObserver
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<span lang="ru-RU">Октябрьские переговоры в Нормандском формате в Берлине, которые уже окрестили "Минск -3", и события вокруг них как нельзя лучше продемонстрировали "психологический арсенал" Кремля, котороый он использует в борьбе против Запада. </span></div>
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Арсенал весьма эффективный, если судить по результатам переговоров. Путину удалось убедить европейских партнеров в том, что выборы нужно проводить до вывода российских войск и вооружения из Украины и до восстановления украинского контроля над границей, который, как пообещал Путин (всем известна цена его обещаний, но ему поверили) будет передан Украине на второй же день после выборов.</div>
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Как передал с места события корреспондент КоммерсантЪ Колесников, обладающий доступом к телу если не Путина, то Суркова, Меркель несколько раз отводила в сторону строптивого Порошенко и после общения с ней он соглашался на все. В итоге Порошенко удалось дожать. Он согласился на контроль <span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">за границей</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> Миссии ОБСЕ, которую Путин в свою очередь согласился расширить. Очевидно, расширять ее Путин намерен за счет российских военных, которые уже контролируют Миссию наблюдателей ОБСЕ и замечены в передаче разведывательной информации российской оккупационной армии ( в ее гибридном варианте). Любопытно, что с подачи российской пропаганды эти гибридные подразделения - ЧВК Вагнера - и называют "сепаратистами".</span></div>
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Было заметно, что Меркель торопилась закрыть вопрос с Украиной, удовлетворив требования Путина, чтобы поскорей перейти к вопросу о Сирии. В сущности, в ходе переговоров произошет обмен Украины на обещания Путина по Сирию, чего давно опасались. </div>
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Хотя, понятно, что Путин не собирается выполнять обещание. Более того, чем эффективней срабатывает шантаж с возобновлением геноцида в Сирии, тем охотнее Путин будет прибегать к нему. </div>
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Путину удалось смягчить претензии со стороны Меркель и Олланда по уничтожению мирных жителей Алеппо (выбить козырь у Меркель) простым фокусом - накануне российская пропагандистская машина запустила дезинформацию о том, что якобы бельгийские самолеты уничтожали мирных жителей. Всем ясно, что это неправда, но мозг человека устроен таким образом, что даже если на уровне рационального сознания он понимает, что это неправда, красочные картинки давят на эмоциональную сферу и неизбежно вызывают чувство вины. </div>
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Именно этим подсознательным чувством вины, намеренно вызванным Путиным, объясняется также неспособность ЕС принять меры против России по Сирии. Путин в отличие от Запада прекрасно знает, что эмоциональная сфера мозга гораздо сильнее влияет на принятие решение, чем рациональная, которая как правило занята тем, что находит обоснование решению, принятому на основании иррациональных эмоций. </div>
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<span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">В результате, Путин одержал чистую победу над европейскими лидерами, даже не прибегая к оружию. Если, конечно, не считать намеренного запугивания европейцев. Акт запугивания вызывает в сознании образы, сравниме по силе восприятия с непосредственно актом насилия, что и определяет какое решение будет принято. </span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> Учитывая успешность применения психологического оружия, Путин и впредь буде использовать его и одерживать победы, если не будут подробно проанализированы все задействованные механизмы это оружия и их воздействие на мозг. Ничего драматичного пока не произошло, так как </span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> Минск-3 - это,</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> скорее, </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">попытка</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">отсрочить</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">развязку</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">, но</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">не</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">решение</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">проблемы</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">. </span></div>
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Ответственность за то, что Путину удалось протолкнуть свое решение лежит не только на европейских лидерах, но и на Украине. <span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">Украина</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">до сих пор </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">четко не </span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> с</span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">формулировала </span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">свою</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">позицию</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">, что ведет к неоднозначной позиции </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">Запада</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> и облегчает Путину задачу манипулирования им</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">. </span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">Пока</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">не</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">будет</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">четкой</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">позиции</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Украины</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">о</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">том,</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">что</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">речь</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">идет</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">о</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">войне</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">с</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Россией</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">и</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">российской</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">оккупации</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">а</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">не</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">о</span><span lang="en-US"> "</span><span lang="ru-RU">гражданской</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">войне</span><span lang="en-US">" </span><span lang="ru-RU">или</span><span lang="en-US"> "</span><span lang="ru-RU">внутреннем</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">украинском</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">конфликте</span><span lang="en-US">" </span><span lang="ru-RU">как</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">подает</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">это</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Путин</span><span lang="en-US"> (именно на </span><span lang="ru-RU">этом</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">ложном</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">посыле</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">основаны</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Минские</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">соглашения</span><span lang="en-US">), </span><span lang="ru-RU">Запад</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">не</span><span lang="en-US"> с</span><span lang="ru-RU">может</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">ей</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">помочь</span><span lang="en-US">.</span></div>
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<span lang="en-US">Пора четко дать понять, что </span><span lang="ru-RU">никаких</span><span lang="en-US"> "</span><span lang="ru-RU">сепаратистов</span><span lang="en-US">" не существует.
</span><span lang="ru-RU">Есть</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">российская</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">оккупация</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">региона</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">и</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">его</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">колонизация</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">предусматривающая</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">использования</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">местного</span><span lang="en-US"> "</span><span lang="ru-RU">человеческого</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">материала</span><span lang="en-US">" </span><span lang="ru-RU">в</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">войне</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">с</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Украиной</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">для</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">снижения</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">расходов</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">и</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">обеспечения</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">нужной</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Кремлю трактовки событий</span><span lang="en-US">.</span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">Западные</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">СМИ</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">последние</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">дни</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">называли</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Моторолу</span><span lang="en-US"> "</span><span lang="ru-RU">сепаратистом</span><span lang="en-US">" (</span><span lang="ru-RU">что</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">было</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">явно</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">на</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">руку</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Путину накануне переговоров</span><span lang="en-US">), </span><span lang="ru-RU">хотя</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">он</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">гражданин</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">России</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">и</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">по</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">определению</span><span lang="en-US"> российский </span><span lang="ru-RU">оккупант</span><span lang="en-US">. </span><span lang="ru-RU">Его</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">подразделения</span><span lang="en-US"> - </span><span lang="ru-RU">это</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">российская</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">гибридная</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">армия,</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">а</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">не</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">мифические</span><span lang="en-US"> "</span><span lang="ru-RU">сепаратисты</span><span lang="en-US">". </span><span lang="ru-RU">Местных</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">жителей</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">насильно</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">заставляют</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">служить</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">в</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">этих</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">российских</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">гибридных</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">подразделениях. Российские оккупанты постоянно </span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">жалуются</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">на</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">то</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">, </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">что</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">местные</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> жители </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">не</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">хотят</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">воевать</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">против</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">Украины, н</span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">о</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">этого</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">почему</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">-</span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">то</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">никто</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">не</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span lang="ru-RU" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">слышит</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 10.5pt;">. </span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">Украинские и западные СМИ прордолжают тиражировать российскиме мифы. Сам факт использования понятия "сепаратист", "боевик" и подобные им определений. искажают суть происходящего.</span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">Вопрос</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">к</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Порошенко</span><span lang="en-US"> - </span><span lang="ru-RU">почему</span><span lang="en-US"> до сих пор </span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">не</span><span lang="en-US"> с</span><span lang="ru-RU">формулирована </span><span lang="ru-RU">позиция</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Украины, основанная на фактах, а не российском мифотворчестве</span><span lang="en-US">? </span><span lang="ru-RU">Создается</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">впечатление</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">что</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Порошенко </span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">намеренно</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">подыгрывает</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Путину,</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">используя</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">его</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">понятийный</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">аппарат</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">который</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">задает</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">алгоритм</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">развития</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">событий </span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">в</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">нужном</span><span lang="en-US"> Москве </span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">направлении</span><span lang="en-US">.</span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">Со</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">стороны</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Путина</span><span lang="en-US"> - </span><span lang="ru-RU">это</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">намеренная</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">подмена</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">реальной</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">картины</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">мира</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">нужным</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">ему</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">суррогатом</span><span lang="en-US">. </span><span lang="ru-RU">Со</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">временем</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">когда</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">в</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">результате</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">массированной</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">пропаганды</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">большое</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">количество</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">людей</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">начинает</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">верить</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">в</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">этот</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">суррогат</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">он</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">превращается</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">в</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">реальность</span><span lang="en-US">. Минские соглашения - это механизм по воплощению сценария Кремля.</span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">Еще один</span><span lang="en-US"> "</span><span lang="ru-RU">подлог</span><span lang="en-US">" был совершен </span><span lang="ru-RU">Путиным</span><span lang="en-US"> п</span><span lang="ru-RU">ару</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">месяцев</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">назад, когда </span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">стало</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">очевидно</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">что</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">и</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Запад</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">и</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">украинское</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">общество</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">не</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">принимают</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Минских</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">соглашений</span><span lang="en-US">, в силу осознания того, что </span><span lang="ru-RU">они</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">основаны </span><span lang="ru-RU">на</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">ложных</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">посылах</span><span lang="en-US">. </span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">В</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">этот</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">момент</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Путин</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">кровно</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">заинтересованный</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">в</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">исполнении</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">выгодных</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">только</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Москве</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Минских</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">соглашений, внезапно заявляет</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">о</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">выходе</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">из</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Нормандского</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">формата</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">и</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">отказе</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">от</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Минских</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">соглашений</span><span lang="en-US">. </span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">Посыл</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">простой </span><span lang="en-US"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>- </span><span lang="ru-RU">раз</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Путин</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">отказывается от Минских соглашений</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">значит</span><span lang="en-US"> они </span><span lang="ru-RU">выгодны</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">украинской</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">стороне и Западу, а не России</span><span lang="en-US">. </span><span lang="ru-RU"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ru-RU">Порошенко</span><span lang="en-US"> немедленно </span><span lang="ru-RU">заявляет</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">что</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Украина</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">никогда</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">не</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">откажется</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">от</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">выполнения</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Минских</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">соглашений</span><span lang="en-US">. </span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">Запад</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">нервничает</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">Шойгу</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">стягивает</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">войска</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">к</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">границе</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">с</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Украиной</span><span lang="en-US">. </span><span lang="ru-RU"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Напряжение</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">нарастает</span><span lang="en-US">. </span><span lang="ru-RU">Все</span><span lang="en-US"> начинают </span><span lang="ru-RU">активно</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">бороться</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">за</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Минские</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">соглашения, от которых недавно все
отказывались.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Нуланд</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">летит</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">к</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Суркову</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">умоляет</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">одуматься</span><span lang="en-US">.</span><span lang="ru-RU"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Сурков обещает, но Путин непреклонен.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Керри умоляет Лаврова, но<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>тот ничем не может помочь.</span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">И</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">вдруг -<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>о,</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">чудо!<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>В самый</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">последний</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">момент</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">Путин</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">соглашается</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">принять</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">участие</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">в</span><span lang="en-US"> Н</span><span lang="ru-RU">ормандском</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">формате</span><span lang="en-US">. </span><span lang="ru-RU"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Кульминация как в хорошей пьесе - чувствется
профессиональная<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>рука профессионального драматурга Суркова. </span></div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">В</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>результате и </span><span lang="en-US"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span lang="ru-RU">украинское</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">общество</span><span lang="en-US">, </span><span lang="ru-RU">и Запад с надеждой смотрят на Путина, который не иначе как решил
пойти на уступки, раз все-таки согласился на переговоры.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>И тут Путин в объятиях<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>обмякшей<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>от счастья Меркель и Олланда хладнокровно продавливает жёсткую<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>версию Минских соглашений, которая
легитимирует российскую военную базу на украинской территории вместе со всеми
российскими боевиками и<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>подотчётной
Кремлю колониальной администрацией. </span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">Более</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">того, Украина берет на
себя их финансирование и обязательство обеспечить их</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">
</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">депутатскими мандатами в парламенте, тем самым
блокируя какую-либо возможность для интеграции с Западом.</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">Порошенко берет с собой на переговоры
Елисеева, который обязательно расскажет про его героические попытки противостоять Путину и давлению со стороны</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">Запада. Занавес опускается. </span></div>
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Однако был еще третий подлог, без которого вся эта гениальная постановка была бы
невозможна.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Для выполнения Минских
соглашений нужна дорожная карта. Год назад Москва
предусмотрительно вбросила эту дорожную карту через западного дипломата Мореля (знаменитый План Мореля) , ожидая. что украинская сторона не станет противиться
западному давлению и примет его.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Однако
противодействие элспертного сообщества было столь велико, что Порошенко ничего
не оставалось как отказаться от Плана Мореля, объявив его частным мнением Мореля.</div>
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В этом году Москва провела работу над ошибками.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>И вбросила свою
дорожную карту<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> по</span> исполнению<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Минских соглашений<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>уже через само<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>украинское экспертное сообщество. Новый<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>"План Мореля" был представлен
накануне<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>переговоров в Берлине под видом
"Красных линий",<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>за которые
Порошенко во время переговоров не должен заходить.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br />
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><br /></span>
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> "План Мореля-2" подписали </span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> основные представители украинского экспертного сообщества, что должно было заблоговременно исключить их бунт против Минска -3. </span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">Не буду
останавливаться здесь на том,</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> к</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">ак удалось собрать подписи основных аналитических центров, которые год назад оказывали яростное</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">сопротивление Плану Мореля</span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;"> </span><span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">- для этого у Москвы
есть простые и действенные технологии.</span><br />
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Престижный аналитический центр не только опубликовал "План
Мореля -2", но и разослал его западным посольствам, давая понять<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Западу, что эта дорожная<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>карта - <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>именно то,<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>чего хотят<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>сами украинцы. Одним махом Суркову удалось заручиться поддержкой своей дорожной карты еще до самих переговоров как украинскими экспертами, так и западными политиками.<br />
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Слабость этой, безусловно, гениальной схемы в том, что ее "деконструкция" может разрушить планы Кремля и вернуть ситацию к исходным позициям. После переговоров Порошенко <a href="http://www.segodnya.ua/politics/pnews/poroshenko-snachala-vyvod-inostrannyh-voysk-s-donbassa-a-potom-vybory-762071.html" target="_blank">заявил</a>. что выборы возможны только после вывода с Донбасса иностранных войск.<br />
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<span style="font-size: 10.5pt;">Вместе с тем, "Минск-3" не прошел зря. Он стал хорошим уроком как для западных политиков, так и для Порошенко и украинского экспертного сообщества, которые были мастерски использованы втемную гениальным драматургом Сурковым.</span></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-83821718676941031222016-07-03T16:27:00.002+02:002023-07-08T19:20:45.658+02:00Гібридна війна продовжуєтся: нові російські загрози в Україні<h3>
<b><span face=""arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif" style="color: #666666; font-family: arial;">Ірина Северин | UAObserver </span></b></h3>
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span face=""helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif" style="color: #1d2129;"><br /></span><span face=""helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif" style="color: #1d2129;">Українську політичну думку сьогодні сколихнула </span><a href="http://gazeta.zn.ua/internal/2017-y-prodolzhenie-sleduet-cennostnye-resursy-voyny-i-mira-ukrainskiy-format-_.html" target="_blank"><span style="color: blue;"><b>стаття</b></span></a><span face=""helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif" style="color: #1d2129;"> впливового в Україні експерта Владіміра Горбуліна. Автор закликає до асіметрічних дій проти Росії, але дивним чином ігнорує ісснуючи ситуацію в самій Україні, де вплив Росії не зменьшується, а збільшується, що становить основний напрямок російського удару по Украіїні.</span><br />
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<span face=""helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif" style="color: #1d2129;">П</span><span face=""helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif"><span style="color: #1d2129;">рисутність в країні 7 російських </span><a href="http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/business/russian-banks-in-ukraine-why-are-they-still-here-417532.html?utm_content=buffer51295&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer" target="_blank"><span style="color: blue;"><b>банків</b></span></a><span style="color: #1d2129;"> з російським державним капіталом, забеспечує корупційні звязки з російським керівництвом та непередбачуваність українських політиків. Російські банки не тільки на підпали під санкції, але й отримують фінансову допомогу від НБУ під фальшивим приводом збереження стабільності банковського сектору, хоча вони вже давно могли би бути замінені на європейські банки.</span></span><br />
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Спекулятивна атака саме цих російських банків на гривню в 2014-му призвела до її драматичного знецінення в декілька разів. Тобто, російські банки в Україні - це бомби всередині держави, які кожної хвилини ( в час Х) можуть знову вибухнути та різко знецінити національну валюту - миттєво перетворити українців на жебраків та Україну в нефункціональну державу -"failed state".<br />
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<span style="font-family: arial;"><span style="color: #1d2129;"><span style="color: #1d2129;">Дргуий виклик - це </span><a href="http://www.kasparov.ru/material.php?id=57755BFF45E4B" target="_blank"><b><span style="color: blue;">переселення</span></b></a><span style="color: #1d2129;"> росіян в Україну, що нагадує повзучу та неконтрольовану окупацію (під час війни). Навіть якщо вони і не є інфільтрантами ФСБ, все одно несуть та навязують свої цінності, поступово змінюючи ідентичність українців. </span></span><b><a href="http://portal-kultura.ru/articles/armiya/122798-aleksandr-vladimirov-rossiya-i-siriya-budut-kontrolirovat-sredizemnoe-more-i-gazoprovody-v-evropu/" target="_blank"><span style="color: blue;">Антропотоки</span></a> </b><span style="color: #1d2129;">за визначенням російських військових є головною зброєю в гибридній війні. </span></span></div>
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Відбувається поступовий процес заміни українців, які гинуть на Донбасі, на активних росіян, які їдуть вчити українців як жити, зі своєю войовничою зневагою до Заходу та мрією про велич об'єднаної Русі-України, тобто мрією поєднання Московії та України в єдину державу ( проти Заходу). </span></div>
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Їдуть з купою грошей для підкупу всіх та вся, що робить їх ідеї привабливими. Грошові запаси поповнюються щедрими спонсорами з російських банків, отримуючих фнансову допомогу від НБУ. Таким чином можна констатувати, що останнім часом вплив Росії на Україну зсередени країни не тільки не зменьшився, а значно збільшився. </span></div>
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Відбувається це через те, що верхівка влади має свій зиск в цьому процесі. Знецінена гривня означає, що об'єкти приватизації так само знецінюються - тобто штучно створена можливість зкупити Україну в п'ять разів дешевше в доларовому еквіваленті. </span></div>
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До того ж на паритетних умовах з росіянами в обмін на частку в російських нафтових, газових або будь-яких інших родовищах як плату за допуск росіян до української приватизації та фінансову допомогу їм за рахунок західних кредитів в умовах західних санкцій. </span></div>
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Тобто приватизація не дасть ніякого імпульсу розвитку країни як це було б у разі західних інвестицій, які б принесли нові технології та пов'язали майбутнє України з Заходом. Навпаки, участь російських банків або їх підставних клиентів в приватизації зцементує дебілізуючий Україну тандем владних олігархів та російської держави вже навічно, що призведе до втрати незалежності. Саме в цьому напрямку зараз рухається ситуація під бадьорі, але фальшиві заклики до євроінтеграції.</span><br />
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(</span><b style="font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px;">C) UAObserver</b></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-68734408237179154422016-06-20T14:54:00.000+02:002019-01-10T21:06:09.955+01:00Putin's new diversion on the eve of NATO Summit<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;">
<b><span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: medium;">By Irina Severin | UAObserver </span></b></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgBgYpMFK7xiCTvG18YSObsZoxspeNU8NsjBvz2fQ7VD6am5APYlo5FUu6fbPNhU6fMyzqwwDveJfb-vyxclzWj5u5lJbyhgpaGxd9Gk37s8bB_VkwibXG1mlhMuwn8PySej2nbmlPu1-M/s1600/Screen+Shot+2016-06-20+at+3.56.13+PM.png" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="403" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgBgYpMFK7xiCTvG18YSObsZoxspeNU8NsjBvz2fQ7VD6am5APYlo5FUu6fbPNhU6fMyzqwwDveJfb-vyxclzWj5u5lJbyhgpaGxd9Gk37s8bB_VkwibXG1mlhMuwn8PySej2nbmlPu1-M/s640/Screen+Shot+2016-06-20+at+3.56.13+PM.png" width="640" /></a></div>
<span lang="en-US" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;"><span lang="en-US" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;"><br /></span></span> <span lang="en-US" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;"><span lang="en-US" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;">As it became</span><span lang="en-US" style="font-size: 9.75pt;"> </span><a href="https://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=uk&tl=en&u=http://tsn.ua/politika/normandska-chetvirka-mozhe-zustritisya-pered-samitom-nato-zmi-675664.html&usg=ALkJrhiYON6Hj3lEIm_Hd-Kdu6t5W7WNag" style="font-size: 9.75pt;"><span lang="en-US" style="font-weight: bold;">known</span></a><span lang="en-US" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;">, a new meeting of leaders of "Norman Quartet" (Russia, Ukraine, Germany, France), Vladimir Putin, Poroshenko, Merkel and Francois Hollande could take place in early July, before the NATO Summit in Warsaw.</span><span lang="en-US" style="color: #222222; font-size: 9.75pt;"> </span><span lang="en-US" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;">The German newspaper Stuttgarter Zeitung</span><span lang="uk-UA" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;"> </span><span lang="en-US" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;">writes, citing a source in the government.</span><span lang="en-US" style="color: #222222; font-size: 9.75pt;"> </span><span lang="en-US" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;">According to the publication, the preparatory meeting with representatives of the four countries took place last week.</span><span lang="en-US" style="color: #222222; font-size: 9.75pt;"> </span><span lang="en-US" style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;">"Ideally, the meeting of Heads of State Summit to be held July 8-9 North Atlantic alliance to reduce tensions," - said the source.</span></span></div>
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<span style="font-weight: bold;">But what is behind this plan of<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"></span> "tension reduction" taking into account that the pressure was carefully built till now as the main leverage for a peaceful blocking of<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"></span> Russian aggression?</span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 11.0pt;">In fact, t</span>his is another Putin's diversion<span style="color: #222222; font-size: 9.75pt;"></span><a href="https://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=uk&tl=en&u=https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%25D0%2594%25D0%25B8%25D0%25B2%25D0%25B5%25D1%2580%25D1%2581%25D0%25B8%25D1%258F&usg=ALkJrhjWUxbrPbkdZikGARFcMxCqSfH6eg"><span style="font-size: 9.75pt; font-weight: bold;"></span></a><span style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;">, whose purpose is to divide<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"></span> western countries, destroy their ability to design common response to the Russian aggression and deprive Ukraine of the Western support during the NATO Summit.</span><span style="color: #222222; font-size: 9.75pt;"> This is a second time when </span><span style="color: #1d2129; font-size: 9.75pt;">Moscow uses the same trick against both Ukraine and the West.</span><span style="color: #222222; font-size: 9.75pt;"> </span></div>
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At the NATO summit in 2014 due to surprise intervention of Putin Ukraine instead of the western consolidated support received the Minsk agreement, drawn by Surkov exclusively in Russian interests. Ukraine has lost a unique opportunity to mobilize Western support, that then was more than real. And Putin was well aware of this. </div>
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This is the moment when the response to the developments in Eastern Ukraine went in the wrong direction, what left demoralized NATO and Ukraine without the Western support. It was pure propaganda, diplomatic and military victory for Putin. Instead of recognizing the Russian military aggression against Ukraine Moscow managed to impose its own "parallel reality',<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>where Russia is a peacemaker, and Ukraine is an "aggressor" against its own people, which has to make the unilateral concessions. </div>
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Now the situation repeats itself - Putin masterfully<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"></span> tries to use Poroshenko and the<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"></span> West in Russia's favor in order to prevent the consolidation of the Western position<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"></span> at the NATO Summit.</div>
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Consolidated NATO support (even symbolical) would allow Ukraine to negotiate with Russia from a position of strength and to get Russia to make concessions and to reverse its aggression. And this is exactly what Russia is trying to avoid.</div>
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<span style="color: #1d2129;">By implementing this diversion<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Putin actually removes Ukraine issue from the NATO Summit agenda in exchange for air - some false<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"></span> promises, which Russia does<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"></span> not plan to fulfill.</span><span style="color: #222222;"> </span><span style="color: #1d2129;">Thus Putin would manage to incline the balance of power in Russia's favor, to block NATO"s ability for any consolidated response and to</span><span style="color: #222222;"> </span><a href="https://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=uk&tl=en&u=https://www.commentarymagazine.com/foreign-policy/europe/is-nato-over/&usg=ALkJrhhu-LhSCVqpgN1XERGkTgS2b7OJ9g"><span style="font-weight: bold;">demoralize</span></a><span style="color: #1d2129;"> Western defense capabilities. And all of this Putin plans to achieve without any shot.</span><span style="color: #222222;"> </span></div>
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<span style="color: #1d2129;">The role of Germany in this Putin's combination, introduced by Steinmeier -</span><span style="color: #222222;"> an </span><span style="color: #1d2129;">ally of Gazprom's employee Schroeder,</span><span style="color: #222222;"> is </span><span style="color: #1d2129;">secondary.</span><span style="color: #222222;"> </span><span style="color: #1d2129;">This is the role of an instrument in the hands of the Russian president.</span></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-18887698499482043642016-03-13T11:11:00.000+01:002019-05-03T14:58:42.487+02:00Выбор Запада для Украины <a href="https://www.facebook.com/irina.severin/posts/10205672460319631?__tn__=-R">Irina Severin - Запад должен понять, что для Украины существуют..</a><br />
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13 марта 2016<br />
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Запад должен понять, что для Украины существуют два пути, которые несовместимы друг с другом. </div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhvknYtLqbacEz0Iukfmee8EQ7kOYJLIp3GtIM50jGzmu4QrAOkrbnMmx141TX8Kb-rXyCq6VLNX_ByZKCN6NwQoI5FV50m_ME_PaFcYSBoltux3pH2rzjE6hk31jvQJ0YR5cenGT9OrC0/s1600/Screen+Shot+2019-05-03+at+15.56.59.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="502" data-original-width="486" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhvknYtLqbacEz0Iukfmee8EQ7kOYJLIp3GtIM50jGzmu4QrAOkrbnMmx141TX8Kb-rXyCq6VLNX_ByZKCN6NwQoI5FV50m_ME_PaFcYSBoltux3pH2rzjE6hk31jvQJ0YR5cenGT9OrC0/s320/Screen+Shot+2019-05-03+at+15.56.59.png" width="309" /></a>Первый путь - это путь реформ и интеграции с Западом. Этот путь возможен в том случае, если Запад предоставит Украине вооружение для защиты ее независимости как это предусмотренно в соответствии с Будапештскими соглашениями. </div>
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Второй путь неизбежен в случае отказа Запада выполнять взятые на себя в рамках Будапештского Меморандума обязательства. В результате Украина вынуждена идти на уступки и поиск компромисса с Москвой, что автоматически означает утрату независимости, интеграцию в коррумпированные схеиы Кремля и скатывание в пропасть отсталости и изолированности от цивилизованного мира.</div>
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Это два взаимоисключающих пути. </div>
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Выбор Украины зависит от Запада, от его готовности выполнять свои обязательства - предоставить оборонительное вооружение для защиты целостности, независимости и обороноспособности. Катсти, президент Обама несет двойную ответственность, так как он непосредственно занимался разоружением Украины.</div>
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Своим отказом выполнять свои обязательства Запад толкает Украину на второй путь - путь коррупции и утраты независимости. Это выбор Запада для Украины. Поэтому призывы Запада к реформам и борьбе с коррупцией на фоне отсутствия поддержки и принуждения к Минским соглашениям - демонстрация лицемерия. </div>
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Минские соглашения сами по себе - это коррупционная сделка с Кремлем, насильственно навязанная Украине в условиях массированного военного наступления России на Украину.</div>
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Запад должен понимать, что защищая Украину он защищает себя. Оставляя Украину один на один с агрессором он ставит себя в ущербное положение, так как следующей жертвой агрессора станет он сам. Также Запад должен понимать, что оставляя Украину России он многократно усиливает российский военный потенциал, который неизбежно будет направлен против Запада.</div>
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<iframe allow="encrypted-media" allowtransparency="true" frameborder="0" height="814" scrolling="no" src="https://www.facebook.com/plugins/post.php?href=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.facebook.com%2Firina.severin%2Fposts%2F10205672460319631&width=500" style="border-style: none; overflow: hidden;" width="500"></iframe>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-40413683228129979832015-11-30T22:00:00.000+01:002019-01-10T21:02:45.731+01:00Putin tries to draw West into ground operation against ISIS<h4 style="caret-color: rgb(34, 34, 34); color: #222222; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13.199999809265137px; margin: 0px; position: relative;">
<span style="background-color: white; color: #999999; font-size: x-small;"> </span><b style="background-color: white;"><span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: x-small;">By Irina Severin | UAObserver </span></b></h4>
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<span class="notranslate"> <span data-offset-key="79a66-0-0">Increased Russian propaganda activity about a possible Putin's ground operation in Syria was started by Putin himself in order to draw the West into a ground conflict with ISIS.</span></span> <span class="notranslate"> <span data-offset-key="79a66-0-0">The trick is simple: if the Kremlin talks about a ground operation against ISIS, then the West would want to get ahead of the Kremlin and be the first to send troops for a ground operation.</span></span> <br />
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<span class="notranslate"><span data-offset-key="aq3kt-0-0">The Kremlin </span></span><span class="notranslate"><span data-offset-key="aq3kt-0-0">hopes to put the West on the wrong track and thus weaken it physically, financially and morally. </span></span><span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;"><span data-offset-key="fdr2d-0-0">Putin wants that not Russia, but the West get stuck in the Middle East the same way as the Soviet Union got stuck in Afghanistan before the collapse.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span><span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;"> <span data-offset-key="fdr2d-0-0">Putin also wants to set up </span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;">the entire Muslim world </span><span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;"><span data-offset-key="fdr2d-0-0">against the West, and not against Russia.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span><br />
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Russia practically invests nothing in the war in Syria - all military operations taking place as a way of utilization <span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;"><span data-offset-key="fdr2d-0-0">of outdated Soviet equipment. It is more expensive to dispose of it in Russia than to bomb the Assad opposition in Syria.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span><span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;"><span data-offset-key="fdr2d-0-0">The second direction is a test of new weaponry. Of course, if the information about its existence is not a propagandist bluff from the start - a typical psychological attack designed for preventive intimidation of the enemy.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span><br />
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<span class="notranslate"><span data-offset-key="aruom-0-0">Russia's main emphasis is on the information/psychological war, which the West completely ignores.</span></span> <span class="notranslate"> <span data-offset-key="aruom-0-0">Lagging </span></span>for decades behind<span class="notranslate"><span data-offset-key="aruom-0-0"> the West militarily, Russia has an overwhelming advantage in the information sphere.</span></span> <span class="notranslate"> <span data-offset-key="aruom-0-0">As a result, Russia could transform any defeat in the perception of the masses into a victory and any crime into the rightness of the Russian side.</span></span> <span class="notranslate"> Thus, a<span data-offset-key="aruom-0-0">ll actions of the West are discredited from the start what results into</span></span><span class="notranslate"><span data-offset-key="aruom-0-0"> the West predetermined loses of all battles, as far as the information/perception sphere is controlled by Moscow.</span></span> <br />
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<span class="notranslate"> <span data-offset-key="4j8ti-0-0">Russia would have used the West’s ground operations in the Middle East masterfully to discredit the West, accusing it of victims of the local population.</span></span> <span class="notranslate"> <span data-offset-key="4j8ti-0-0">Even if the collateral damage is not there, the Kremlin will create vivid pictures and spread them as it often happened during Russian military aggression against Ukraine.</span></span> <span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;"><span data-offset-key="elk1r-0-0">In addition, the bombing and ground operations in Syria and Iraq will make it much easier for Russia to provoke terrorist attacks by the Islamists in the West since the mere presence of the Western forces in the region will create the necessary information background for propaganda.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span></div>
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<span class="notranslate"><span data-offset-key="c5vqb-0-0">At the same time, ISIS is not a traditional structure, therefore traditional methods of war will not work with it.</span></span> <span class="notranslate"> <span data-offset-key="c5vqb-0-0">The main battle to destroy ISIS should be conducted on the Internet, where its main operations are carried out.</span></span> <span class="notranslate"> The main task is <span data-offset-key="c5vqb-0-0">to block propaganda, communications and financing channels. All the infrastructure benefiting ISIS is launched by the FSB. Among them - the social network Telegram assuring anonymity and confidentiality for terrorists' communication, Bitcoin designed for anonymous financing of terrorists as well as other less visible Russian subversive special operations abroad.</span></span> <span class="notranslate"> </span><br />
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<span class="notranslate"><span data-offset-key="c5vqb-0-0">Recruitment to the ranks of ISIS is also carried out on the Internet through online gaming platforms.</span></span> <span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;"><span data-offset-key="7lr63-0-0">By solving these problems, the West will weaken not only the international terrorism but the entire network of Putin's influencers and tailor-made for Russian interests political movements in the West using the same communications and financial channels for advancement.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span><span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;"><span data-offset-key="7lr63-0-0">Without Russian funding, they will stop to exist.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span></div>
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<span class="notranslate"> It is important to realize that I<span data-offset-key="7lr63-0-0">SIS is a network of mercenaries with an artificially created ideology and an artificially created syncretic religion tailored to the needs of a terrorist organization.</span></span> <span class="notranslate"><span data-offset-key="7lr63-0-0">The struggle against the deviant ideology and fake and instrumental religion should also be conducted on the Internet. </span></span><span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;"><span data-offset-key="2lj3s-0-0">Enough to block the channels of propaganda, recruitment, and funding, and ISIS will cease to exist without the Western ground operations.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span><span class="notranslate" style="font-size: 14px;">The main problem which will remain to resolve will be the <span data-offset-key="2lj3s-0-0">rehabilitation of people with the already</span> <span style="font-size: 14px;">crippled psyche by the propaganda machine managed from Moscow.</span></span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> </span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 14px;">By creating ISIS Russian not only blows up the Middle East to reshape it in its favor but gets rid of a potential Islamic rebellion against Moscow inside of Russia by externalizing terrorist threat (sending potential terrorists to Middle East) and channeling it against the West.</span></div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-28069741510716176422015-11-30T19:39:00.000+01:002019-01-10T21:07:33.367+01:00Путин пытается втянуть Запад в наземную операцию против ИГИЛ<div class="_209g _2vxa" data-block="true" data-offset-key="79a66-0-0" style="color: #373e4d; direction: ltr; font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; position: relative; white-space: pre-wrap;">
<span data-offset-key="79a66-0-0">Повышенная пропагадистская активность по поводу возможной наземной операции Путина в Сирии затеяна самим Путиным с тем, чтобы втянуть Запад в наземный конфликт с ИГИЛ. Трюк заключается в том, что если Кремль будет говорить о наземной операции против ИГИЛ, то Запад захочет опередить Кремль и первым пошлёт войска для наземной операции. </span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="aq3kt-0-0"> Кремль прекрасно понимает. что проблему ИГИЛ наземной операцией не решить, но надеется пустить Запад по ложному следу и, таким образом, ослабить его физически, финансово и морально. </span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="fdr2d-0-0">Путин хочет чтобы не Россия, а Запад завяз на Ближнем Востоке также, как в свое время Советский союз завяз в Афганистане. Также Путин хочет настроить против Запада, а не против России весь мусульманский мир. </span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="fdr2d-0-0">Сам же Путин практически ничего не вкладывает в войну в Сирии - все военные операции до сих пор проходят в русле утилизации устаревшей советской техники, утилизировать которую в России дороже, чем бомбить оппозицию Асаду в Сирии. </span><br />
<span data-offset-key="fdr2d-0-0">Второе направление - это испытание новой техники, если, конечно, информация о ней изначально не является пропагандистским блефом - психологической атакой, рассчитанной на превентивное устрашение противника. </span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="aruom-0-0">Основная ставка делается на информационную войну, которую Запад полностью игнорирует. Отставая от Запада на десятилетия в военном плане Россия обладает подавляющим преимуществом в информационной сфере. В результате, любое свое поражение в восприятии масс Россия трансформирует в победу и правоту российской стороны. Все действия Запада изначально дискредитируются. В итоге, Запад изначально проигрывает все сражения, так как информационная сфера управляется Москвой. </span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="4j8ti-0-0">Наземные операции Запада на Ближнем Востоке Россия виртуозно использовала бы для дискредитации Запада, обвинив его в жертвах местного населения. Даже если их не будет, то Кремль создаст картинку и растиражирует ее как это не раз происходило в Украине. </span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="elk1r-0-0">Кроме того, бомбардировки и наземные операции в Сирии и Ираке гораздо облегчат России задачу провоцирования исламистами терактов на Западе, так как создадут необходимый для этого постоянный информационный фон.</span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="c5vqb-0-0">Вместе с тем, ИГИЛ не является традиционной структурой, поэтому традиционные методы войны с ним не сработают. Основная борьба по уничтожению ИГИЛ должна вестись через Интернет, посредством которого осуществляются его главные операции. Необходимо перекрыть пропаганду, коммуникации и финансирование - все это происходит через запущенные ФСБ проекты - анонимные социальные сети Telegram и проект Bitcoin для анонимного финансирования террористов и других российских подрывных спецопераций за рубежом. Рекрутирование в ряды ИГИЛ также осуществляется в интернете через платформы on-line игр. </span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="7lr63-0-0">Решив эти задачи Запад немедленно ослабит не только международный терроризм, но и всю сеть путинских полезных идиотов и фиктивных политических движений на Западе. Без финансирования они не смогут существовать. </span><br />
<span data-offset-key="7lr63-0-0">ИГИЛ - это сеть наёмников с искусственно созданной идеологией и синкретической религией, подогнанной под нужды террористической организации. Борьба против извращенной идеологии и фальшивой религии также должна вестись в интернете. </span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="2lj3s-0-0">Достаточно перекрыть каналы пропаганды, рекрутирования и финансирования и ИГИЛ прекратит свое существование без бомбардировок и наземных операций.</span><br />
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<span data-offset-key="2lj3s-0-0">Останется решить проблему реабилитации людей с уже</span><span style="font-size: 14px;"> покалеченной психикой. </span><br />
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<span style="font-size: 14px;">Создавая ИГИЛ, Россия не только взohdfkf Ближний Восток, реформатировать его в свою пользу, но и избавляется от потенциального исламского мятежа против Москвы внутри России, перенося террористическую угрозу вовне и направляя ее против Запада.</span></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-29977720469119210612015-11-04T10:45:00.001+01:002015-11-04T20:57:02.142+01:00Двойное поражение США в Сирии<div style="color: #141823; font-family: helvetica, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px;">
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhAFP6iXQcouDnPNZ5zdMcTYkH_bENjVC0Vhrfnf5iWFlrqJvkecPrMmYTB3UBgw8dybxoOpFWFcEO2emxqQyFtsOJyjc8zbs3K-0jCBNUKuYgNiwyEHZAA-4sZsyXNligs9bJokG9n_Ig/s1600/Kerri_Kult_05_04.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="182" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhAFP6iXQcouDnPNZ5zdMcTYkH_bENjVC0Vhrfnf5iWFlrqJvkecPrMmYTB3UBgw8dybxoOpFWFcEO2emxqQyFtsOJyjc8zbs3K-0jCBNUKuYgNiwyEHZAA-4sZsyXNligs9bJokG9n_Ig/s320/Kerri_Kult_05_04.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
Путин успешно разыграл очередную двухходовку для вытеснения США с Ближнего Востока, использовав при этом самих американцев, которые все еще надеются на восстановление дружественных отношений с Россией, в то время как Россия расценивает свои отношения с США как войну на уничтожения. При этом Россия продолжает настаивать на сотрудничестве с США, так как это открывает для Москвы огромные возможности для манипуляции Вашингтоном, которыми Москва неизменно успешно пользуется.<br />
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<b>"Ловкость рук и никакого мошенничества"</b><br />
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Неделю назад Саудовская Аравия с подачи США передала Москве списки оппозиционеров для начала переговоров по мирному урегулированию в Сирии, чтобы избежать кровопролития.</div>
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<span style="color: #141823;">Москва тут же использовала эти списки для </span><a href="http://ria.ru/syria_chronicle/20151103/1313211869.html#ixzz3qRpW70yD" target="_blank"><span style="color: blue;"><b>кооптации</b></span></a><span style="color: #141823;"> оппозиции в свои ряды, используя свой обычный инструментарий: антиамериканскую пропаганду, запугивание, подкуп и ложные посулы. </span></div>
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Таким образом Путину удалось еще больше ослабить сирийскую оппозицию и окончательно спутать карты США и ее союзников в регионе. при этом з<span class="text_exposed_show" style="display: inline;">начительно усилив собственные позиции для продолжения кровопролития до полного уничтожения реальной оппозиции. США содействовали процессу подкупа оппозиции теле-картинками о своем сотрудничестве с Москвой. </span></div>
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Когда реальная оппозиция будет физически уничтожена. Путин перейдет к "мирным переговорам" с подкупленной оппозицией, которая радостно согласится с пожизненным правлением Асада. </div>
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Более того, кооптировав суннитов в свои ряды Путин уходит от ущербной для него линии размежевания "сунниты-шииты" и переводит ситуацию в более выгодную для него плоскость единого исламского антиамериканизма, таким образом полностью выдавливая США из региона.<br />
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"<b>Сделка века" </b><br />
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Самое удивительное в этой комбинации, что Россия сумела продать США свое участие в мирных переговорах по Сирии в обмен на давление США на Украину по предоставлению российским военизированным анклавам на востоке Украины особого статуса в составе Украины. Причем об отводе российских войск и вооружения речь не идет.<br />
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В результате этой "сделки века" США обменяла одну невыгодную для себя ситуацию на другую еще более невыгодную, так как предоставление особого статуса российским военизированным анклавам означает легализацию российской оккупации Украины и полное вытеснение США из стратегически важного региона. </div>
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Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-37265224312081812932015-10-06T14:35:00.000+02:002016-02-15T01:53:24.334+01:00В Кишиневе Москва переходит к "плану Б"<h2>
<span style="font-size: small; font-weight: normal;"><a href="http://observatormd.blogspot.md/2015/10/blog-post.html"><span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Ирина Северин |</span><span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> ObservatorMD </span></a></span></h2>
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<span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: small; font-weight: normal;">Кремль планирует переворот с последующим переучреждением страны</span></h2>
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<span style="color: #666666; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: small; font-weight: normal;">Фото: newsmaker</span></h3>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnirLvbwyuLBh1Zc6TWSqDa99ygeqk9YnL_uyFajMniEGR418_IYv0ecsRPKKlIaFbqEBDLlVNobOVTukJmSP3DjBORrK9zbiZrBz2pA9XnkhOPLmcUw3vhrRQQ-WCn1M5MGkl9UDF10Y/s1600/Screen+Shot+2015-10-06+at+20.40.32.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnirLvbwyuLBh1Zc6TWSqDa99ygeqk9YnL_uyFajMniEGR418_IYv0ecsRPKKlIaFbqEBDLlVNobOVTukJmSP3DjBORrK9zbiZrBz2pA9XnkhOPLmcUw3vhrRQQ-WCn1M5MGkl9UDF10Y/s1600/Screen+Shot+2015-10-06+at+20.40.32.png" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: small; font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">4 октября в Кишиневе состоялась попытка переворота. Впрочем, это было </span><a href="http://observatormd.blogspot.com/2015/09/blog-post_7.html" style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;" target="_blank"><span style="color: blue;">предсказуемо</span></a><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: blue;">.</span><span style="color: #141823;"> Ренато Усатый в ходе силовой попытки прорваться в здание Парламента не был замечен, несмотря на данное ранее обещание</span></span><span style="color: #141823;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> "</span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">показать всем как надо организовывать протесты". Также ранее новый мэр города </span></span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Бельцы раздавал интервью о том, что переселился жить в палатку на площади перед Парламентом. </span></span></h3>
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<span style="font-size: small; font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #141823;"><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">В</span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">озможно, в необходимости на этот раз оставаться в тени его и его кураторов убедило предупреждение экспертов о том, что его непосредственное участие в протесте отпугнет его проевропейских участников, а без них российская пропагандистская машина не сможет постфактум обвинять Запад в организации переворота в Молдове как в случае </span></span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Майдана.<a name='more'></a></span></span></h3>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">Судя по развитию ситуации, это не последняя попытка силового захвата власти в Кишиневе. Для этого на авансцену выводят новых игроков - более агрессивных и без интеллигентских комплексов, свойственных участникам платформы "ДА", которые в решительный момент дали слабину и начали останавливать ими же разъяренную толпу. </span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">Новая креатура Кремля называет себя "Совет Национального собрания", что изначально является названием государственного органа во многих странах мира, что само по себе должно было исключать возможность его использования непонятными группировками. </span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Впрочем, название указывает на то, что структура создана для перехвата власти у законно избранного Парламента с целью "пере-учреждения государства" по лекалам Кремля. Нетрудно догадаться, что первое, что заявит Кремль после переворота будет сакраментальная фраза: "Государства Республика Молдова больше не существует, а потому все соглашения с ЕС недействительны". </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">О том, что это не последняя попытка переворота говорит и то, что Наталия Морарь, специализирующаяся на революциях в Молдове, и платформа "ДА" продолжают раскачивать ситуацию и накалять обстановку методами, многократно обкатанными ФСБ в других местах и доказавшими свою безотказность. Продолжается форсированное нагнетание психоза среди населения через средства массовой информации и соцсети преимущественно двумя путями - через подачу мало достоверной информации, которая должна задевать за живое и имитацию неподдельного негодования, что передается толпе уже на невербальном уровне. </span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;"><br /></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">Как я уже писала, </span></span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> подобные методы использовались для разогрева толпы в Донецке накануне создания Донецкой народной республики. Запугивания "фашистами" из "Правого сектора" оказалось недостаточно для возбуждения толпы - в ход пошла информация о предстоящей насильственной вакцинации Киевом жителей Донецка, что принесло свой результат. </span><br />
<span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">В Кишиневе роль возбудителя масс сыграла информация в исполнении Наталии Морарь о том. что половина суммы счетов за свет население оплачивает прямо в карман олигарха Плахотнюка. Подавалась информация со слезой и надрывом в голосе, что должно было вызвать зеркальную реакцию у многочисленных жителей Кишинева, неискушенных в экономике, которые и оказались на площадь как и в случае Донецка. </span><br />
<span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Судя по всему, Усатый все же нашел общий язык с экс-премьером и лидером Либерал-демократической партии Владом Филатов, два года назад уволенным за коррупцию. В коррупционерах остался только Плахотнюк, а Филат пополнил ряды борцов с коррупцией. В общем, постановка многоактная. Возможны и не такие метаморфозы. </span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Расслабляться не следует... </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823; font-size: small; font-weight: normal;">Позитивный и негативный сценарии</span></span></h3>
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Если говорить о позитивном варианте выхода из кризиса, то он возможен лишь при активном посредничестве ЕС, четко выписанных условиях и обязанностях, которые должна принять на себя власть.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Очевидно, схема по выводу миллиарда была намеренно вброшена российской агентурой для дискредитации власти и ее последующего свержения. </span><br />
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<span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Ни для кого не секрет, что во главе этой схемы стоит Вячеслав Платон - известный рейдер международного масштаба с двойным молдавским и российским </span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">гражданством. В 2008-ом он стоял за многомиллиардной схемой по отмываю денег в деле Магницкого осуществляемой при поддержке коммунистических властей. Он же стоит за схемой по выводу из страны миллиарда - фиктивные фирмы, на счета которых выведены средства, числятся за ним. </span><br />
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<span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Однако никто не вспоминает о нем и не требует посадить его. Подобная схема по намеренной банкротизации страны уже доказала свою эффективность в </span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> Украине, где разграбленная с подачи креатуры Кремля псевдо-олигарха Курченко страна (схемы разграбления разрабатывались в Кремле), оказалась не способной к ассоциации с ЕС. </span><br />
<span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><br /></span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"> </span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">В Молдове тот же прием намеренной банкротизации и дискредитации власти запущен постфактум - уже после подписания соглашения с ЕС, для чего и понадобилось "пере-учреждение страны" через силовое свержение власти и запуск "совета национального собрания".</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Доведенная до банкротства и свободная от обязательств перед ЕС Молдова немедленно попросится в Таможенный союз и Москве "будет вынуждена спасти" ее.</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">Очевидно, что Москва будет отчаянно сопротивляться сценарию с посредничеством ЕС. Достаточно вспомнить как сопротивлялись переговорному процессу про-московские силы в Украине. Тимошенко из тюрьмы слала послание за посланием о том, что никаких "переговоров с тираном быть не может". Это заблокировало мирный эволюционный процесс выхода из кризиса и привело страну к силовому сценарию с затяжной войной, тысячами жертв и утратой целостности. </span></span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Из-за отсутствия переговорного процесса внезапно появившаяся "третья сила", направляемая ФСБ, успешно трансформировала тупиковый мирный протест в силовой, что должно было спровоцировать Януковича на силовое же подавление протеста с последующей изоляцией Украины от внешнего мира. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">Никаких требований к власти, кроме как "покончить с собой", также как сейчас в Молдове, протестующие на Майдане не предъявляли. В обоих случаях, намеренно выдвигались требования, которые изначально невыполнимы. </span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;"><br /></span></span><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">Вместе с тем, как утверждает Ренато Усатый на своей пресс-конференции, западные посольства уже отказались вести переговоры с действующей властью. Это также напоминают ситуацию в </span></span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Украине, когда Европейский союз до последнего момента предпочитал частые поездки в тюрьму к промосковской Тимошенко вместо ведения переговоров с действующей властью и поиска компромисса. Поиск компромисса начался только тогда, когда ситуация в стране уже была переведена "третьими силами" в силовую фазу, что сделало процесс необратимым. </span><br />
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<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;"><span style="color: #141823;">Ситуация повторяется. Согласно накатанному сценарию, про-московские силы в Молдове продолжают нагнетать психоз. Хотя очевидно. что результатом таково эксперимента также как в Украине может стать лишь донецкий сценарий с последующим захватом власти Москвой. </span></span><br />
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<span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">Наталии Морарь и Игорю Боцану стоило бы поумерить свой пыл и подумать о том. как вводить ситуацию в переговорное русло. Их деструктивная роль "креативного меньшинства", возбуждающего на переворот агрессивно-пассивное "большинство" очевидна. Если они сейчас не остановятся и не отыграют ситуацию назад потом им уже никогда не отмыться. Впрочем, это </span><span style="color: #141823; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif;">актуально лишь в том случае, если они не связали себя обязательствами с московскими спонсорами. </span></div>
Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1841941452430104049.post-55283670002631442832015-09-07T14:32:00.000+02:002015-10-30T14:50:17.586+01:00Кто стоит за протестом в Молдове?<h3>
<span style="font-size: small;"><a href="http://observatormd.blogspot.md/2015/09/blog-post_7.html" target="_blank"><b><span style="color: #666666; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">Ирина Северин |</span></b><b><span style="color: #666666; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"> ObservatorMD</span></b></a></span></h3>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhW_VTv9tbSHH15iCCaVHQCRzrgcRHxA1T8GgeIlX2686BD_qZBmM9FiVY3sSc9-Hy5t2HL2vRq7f7aoKJgQybOikEin9MOYiXeWiXWL2MAsoSB-9ONa-KKG0DyUbYdQz47DE2LTX5P8PM/s1600/Usatyi2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="400" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhW_VTv9tbSHH15iCCaVHQCRzrgcRHxA1T8GgeIlX2686BD_qZBmM9FiVY3sSc9-Hy5t2HL2vRq7f7aoKJgQybOikEin9MOYiXeWiXWL2MAsoSB-9ONa-KKG0DyUbYdQz47DE2LTX5P8PM/s400/Usatyi2.jpg" width="278" /></a></div>
В воскресенье в Кишинёве на главной площади страны прошёл многочисленный анти-правительственный митинг. По некоторым данным на площади собралось порядка 50 тысяч человек с флагами Молдовы и Европейского союза. Митинг организован неформальной социально-политической силой "Достоинство и правда", которая как сообщила одна из организаторов, пол-года готовила этот митинг. Политическая сила позиционирует себя как про-европейская, но оппозиционная к действующей власти. </div>
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Требования, выдвинутые политической силой - уход в отставку всей действующей власти Молдовы в связи с фактами коррупции и обнищанием населения. В частности, речь идёт о выведении из страны миллиарда долларов, недостачу которого власть компенсировала за счёт изменения курса валюты и повышения цен, что привело к заметному снижению уровня жизни населения. Снижение уровня жизни называлось выступающими как одна из главных причин выхода людей на антиправительственный митинг. </div>
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Любопытно, что новая политическая сила выступает против всего политического класса страны, включая как действующую власть. так и оппозицию, которую политическая сила обвиняет в сотрудничестве с властью. Новая политическая сила не представила ни своей программы, ни ярких политических лидеров, но выставила ультимативное требование к власти уйти в полном составе в отставку.<br />
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К концу митинга политическая сила заявила, что так как правительство отказалось уходить в отставку политическая платформа "Достоинство и правда" объявляет бессрочную протестную акцию. На главной площади страны будет создан городок "Достоинства и правды", который простоит до тех пор, пока правительство и президент не сдадутся, а олигархи не окажутся в тюрьме. На площади было установлено несколько палаток, а организаторы пообещали, что это только начало и их будет много. </div>
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Завершился митинг призывами стоять до конца и дебютом песни протестного движения, где перечисляются все политические лидеры страны с призывом уйти из политики.</div>
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<span lang="ru-RU">Среди перечисленных не было лидера пророссийской партии Ренато Усатого, известного своим предвыборным слоганом "сила в правде". Как полагают некоторые эксперты, именно он стоит за этим "народным протестом", а слово "правда" в названии</span><span lang="en-US"> </span><span lang="ru-RU">новой политической силы в нужный момент должно стать мостиком, который свяжет его с политическим протестом в случае, если протест окажется удачным. Символом протеста также стала латинская буква </span><span lang="en-US">V</span><span lang="ru-RU">, которая тоже относится к атрибутике Ренато Усатого.</span></div>
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Созданная Ренато Усатым политическая сила под названием "Наша партия" также позиционирует себя в оппозиции ко всему политическому классу Молдовы. Она уже достигла неплохих результатов на последних парламентских выборах благодаря концертам российских звёзд, которые по приглашению Ренато Усатого выступили практически во всех населённых пунктах страны. Однако в последний момент "Наша партия" Усатого был снята с выборов и не попала в Парламент.</div>
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Лидер "Нашей партии" Ренат Усатый взял реванш на последних региональных выборах и в июне этого года был <a href="http://point.md/ru/novosti/politika/renato-usatij-triumfaljno-pobedil-na-viborah-primara-beljc" style="color: #1155cc;" target="_blank">избран</a> мэром города Бельцы - второго по величине города в Молдове. Сам Ренато Усатый держится в стороне от протестов. Сместить действующую власть можно только руками про-европейского большинства, у которого он явно не пользуется популярностью. <span style="font-size: 12pt;">Однако в случае внеочередных выборов у него есть шанс, так как про-европейского большинство может проигнорировать выборы из-за отсутствия популярных политиков и политических сил. </span></div>
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Ренато Усатый позиционирует себя как молдавский гастарбайтер в России, который собственными силами сумел сколотить состояние и вернулся на Родину, чтобы помочь ей. Между тем ходят упорные слухи, что за ним стоит председатель ОАО Российские железные дороги Владимир Якунин. Еще до начала своей политической карьеры Ренато Усатый появился в стране с предложением сдать Молдавскую железную дорогу в концессию России, что продолжает оставаться одним из пунктов его предвыборной программы. И одним из пунктов геополитической повестки дня России в Молдове.</div>
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Судя по последним событиям, Москва разочаровалась в своём прежнем фаворите - лидере социалистической партии Игоре Додоне и сделала ставку на Ренато Усатого. Это значит, что финансовые возможности лидера "Нашей партии" позволяют ему скупать организационные структуры других партий по всей стране - это то, как традиционно в Молдове происходит процесс партийного строительства.</div>
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Неограниченные финансовые возможности, а также разочарование молдаван во вчерашних политических кумирах, которые пришли к власти на революционной волне в 2009-ом году, могут обеспечить ему успех на следующих выборах. Для этого необходимо только отправить в отставку действующую власть, которая дискредитировала себя и назначить дату новых выборов. <span style="font-size: 12pt;">Неудивительно, что анти-правительственный митинг воспринимается некоторыми наблюдателями как первый шаг в кремлёвской двуходовке по смене власти в Молдове. </span><br />
<span style="font-size: 12pt;">Хотя внешне все выдержано в стилистике Майдана, с учётом молдавских национальных особенностей. конечно. </span></div>
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