UAObserver
May 4, 2023
Kremlin drone strike, Russia's reflexive control, nukes and fake deals
May 26, 2022
Putin's "Food OPEC," Shoigu's reflexive control ops, and Ukraine's lonely "final stand" against Russia's horde
April 29, 2022
Guterres and Putin: it's complicated
These days, the media has written a lot about "Putin's hunt for the UN Secretary-General" in Kyiv, giving Guterres the aura of a particular enemy of Putin. In this context, one should not forget that Guterres is Putin's creature in big politics. His election resulted from a brilliant Russian special operation at the UN.
Guterres became the trump card that Moscow suddenly pulled out of its sleeve after masterfully discrediting the well-established candidate for the UN Secretary-General position (Natalia Gherman, Moldova) at the very last moment. Since there were no other acceptable candidates at hand, there was nothing left to do but elect the Kremlin candidate Guterres.
January 14, 2020
Steinmeier Formula: from War of Attrition to War of Annihilation
What does Zelensky expect from the Normandy Summit of Four - signing a capitulation in the presence of Putin, Merkel, and Macron? It would be suicidal not only for Zelensky and Ukraine but also for Europe as this would lead to a large-scale Syria kind of war in Europe, replacing controllable Russian partial occupation of Ukraine.
Now Russia is leading a war of attrition against Ukraine. The recognition of the Russian military exclave inside Ukraine would provoke Moscow to start a war of annihilation against Ukraine while pretending to be a peace-maker.
Shoigu already promised "to stop Ukrainian extremists" and regretted that "it was not done earlier."
January 12, 2020
Could be 'Russian trace' behind Ukrainian plane downing?
UAObserver
December 16, 2019
Що далі? Рятувати обличчя Путіна чи Україну?
By Irina Severin | UAObserver
Після збитого Боінгу та Іловайського котла, коли військова російська присутність в Україні була очевидна для всіх, Путін почувався військовим злочинцем та боявся, що якщо виїде на Захід, його заарештують. Саме тому було вирішено провести зустріч в Мінську.
Тоді дивним чином всі зусилля Заходу були напралвені на те, щоби дати можливість Путіну зберігти обличчя в обмін на відведення росийськмх військ з України. На Заході публіковалися статі на тему "Let Putin save face". Фраза "Дайте Путіну зберегти обличчя" повторювалась як мантра.
Україні потрібен не Мінськ - 3, а Берлін - 1
By Irina Severin | UAObserver
Український ринок землі та російські 'кабанчики'
By Irina Severin | UAObserver
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Давід Арахамія |
November 9, 2018
Europeans cover up Russia's preparation for further military attacks on Ukraine
France and Germany's joint statement plays into Russia's hands
“Evidence collected by SMM suggests Russia and the separatists it backs bear responsibility for the targeting and downing of the LR UAV, blinding the mission at this particular spot."
November 13, 2016
Russia intends to impose Transnistrization scheme on Ukraine
The EU loses its position despite the fact that it not only offers a massive amount of aid to the country but pays a significant part of its budget. However, the public either does not know about this or sees this as a bribing of Moldovan authorities by the EU bureaucrats as Russian propaganda touts this.
During the last decade, Moscow runs a relentless disinformation campaign in Moldova, but there are no signs of informing the public about the EU assistance, neither by the EU nor by the Moldovan authorities.
Moreover, the money paid by the EU for years for the construction and renovation of kindergartens, hospitals, and schools in Transnistria (not in Moldova!) is attributed by the locals to Moscow and seen as Russian investment in the development of the region.
Both the population in Transnistria and in Moldova are sure that this is Moscow's support for Transnistria as the region is the territory occupied by Russia what was recognized by the ECHR. The presence of the 14th Russian Army makes Transnistria Russia's military outpost in Europe.
EU's financial assistance to the breakaway region paradoxically is one of the reasons why Moldovans want "more Russia" in Moldova and vote for Dodon, who promised to bring more of Russian help. On the opposite side, the EU got an image of the force corrupting authorities but don't help the population in Moldova. Strangely, the EU contribution to Transnistria development instead of making Moldova more attractive for the Moldovans from Transnistria played exactly into Russian hands.
If a couple of years ago the majority of Moldovans favored European integration. Lately, getting closer to Russia favors about 50 percent of Moldova.
Furthermore, after obtaining such a success in Moldova and Transnistria Moscow tries to impose the same model on the occupied territories in Ukraine. Russia would like to preserve its military and administrative power In Donbas but making Europeans to pay for the reconstruction of the Donbas region, occupied by the Russian military.
The logic is simple - if this scheme works for Russia in Transnistria and Moldova, why not impose the same scheme on Ukraine?
Transnistization scheme as inspiration for Russia to occupy Donbas
The Transnistrian model is exactly what provides the Minsk agreement - legalization of the Russian military base in Ukraine, assuring its funding by the Western donors with gradual "Transnistrisation" of the whole Ukraine as this happened in Moldova.
Another Moldovan scheme which Moscow failed to impose on Moldova but still intends to implement it in Ukraine is the Memorandum Kozak scheme. Russia created to would-be republics on the East of Ukraine in order to federalize Ukraine and impose equal rights on all three entities that would make the rest of Ukraine to lose in score 1: 2 to two artificially created by Moscow republics.