January 12, 2020

Could be 'Russian trace' behind Ukrainian plane downing?

By Irina Severin | UAObserver

The often asked question lately is could be there ‘Russian trace’ in downing Ukrainian plane? 
As there is no motive for Iranians to hit the Ukrainian plane and there is a clear Russia's motive to hit the Ukrainian plane the “Russian trace” should not be discarded from the start. 
Since 2013, Russia methodically pressurizes Ukraine into obedience by the different military and terrorist means using a false flag approach. The downing of the Ukrainian plane in Baghdad could be another false flag operation meant to increase pressure on Ukraine and personally on Zelensky. 
The owner of the downed aircraft is a Ukrainian oligarch and Zelensky's main sponsor Kolomosiky. Downing the plane is a kind of threat/preview to both Zelensky and Kolomoisky what they should expect if they don't obey to Russia. 
In the first week of January, in Oman Zelensky had intense shadow negotiations with Russians, presumably with Surkov, on further interaction. It looks like Zelensky has disappointed Putin/Surkov by rejecting their exaggerated demands. Whatever, they didn't find a common language. 
But as previously Zelensky has shown his inclination to one-sided concessions to Putin which were seen by Russians as a weakness, Putin decided that increasing pressure on Zelensky could break his will to oppose Russia. 
Also, by downing the plane - Kolomoisky's valuable asset and destroying the reputation of his company Putin intended to considerably weaken Zelensky, as this should make him less independent financially and more vulnerable to Russian influence.
The downing was produced in such a manner that it allowed claiming the pilot's error or malfunctioning of the plane. For the implementation of the plan Russians decided to use the chaotic situation of the conflict between Iran and the U.S. 
This could be a reason for Putin's and Shoigu coming to Syria on the 7th of January, where they had a meeting with the Iranian military accompanied by their Russian instructors. 
As Russian armament is served by Russian instructors it was quite easy for them to down the plane and to present this shooting as an "unintended mistake". Iranians could be even not aware that they were simply used by Russians as a false flag and do believe that there really was an unintentional shooting.
Therefore, both the denial by Iran of the shooting and its later acceptance could be genuine. However, the shooting happened at their territory and, whatever the circumstances, they do are responsible for it. 
The proof that the downing was intended and premeditated is the video of the crash of the plane. It starts exactly when the shooting occurred, continues with the missile damaging the plane and finishes after the downing of the plane. 
The shooting of the video in the precise moment of the attack was not a coincidence. It was a professional shooting made as a report on the accomplishment of the operation. Later, the video was leaked to the Telegram and became a piece of evidence. 
Another proof of premeditated nature of plane downing is another video, a doctored one, which was spread immediately after the crash and should prove that the downing was the result of either pilot's mistake or defective state of the plane, not of hitting by a missile.
There are more additional motives behind this downing. Russians like to extras the maximum benefits from any false-flag special operation and excel in this. 
As well there are more precedents of Russian downing of foreign planes, be this Kachinsky’s plane downing in 2010, which beheaded the Polish elite - the case was not investigated properly until today, to downing by Russian military of NH17 in occupied by Russians Donbas. 
The impunity of previous cases let Russia use the same kind of terrorist attack again, this time in Baghdad. If the case will be buried in the name of political expedience as previous ones there will be more such cases in the future. And the acting politicians will be responsible for them.

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