By Irina Severin, an Expert on Russia's Hybrid Warfare
The second storm, named #Moke, follows #Lala and targets Hawaii's Big Island. It is not as intense, and it doesn't get as close as Lala did, but as an addition to the disastrous floods Lala already caused, it could significantly worsen the damage, adding to the floods, mud, and landslides.
This is an intensification by cumulative effects, which could also be weaponized, not only by the hurricane's rapid intensification itself. Especially if an attempt to intensify a storm into a hurricane fails.
An interesting detail is that the second storm had appeared much closer to the Big Island than Lala. The dynamic we followed last Year in the Atlantic, after Hurricane #Erin, originated as a tropical storm in the eastern Atlantic before developing into a full-fledged hurricane.
The following tropical storms came close to US territory. However, unlike the tropical storm Moke, which developed into a hurricane due to the heightened water temperatures along the US Eastern Coast.
Such a succession of several storms against the same target is an interesting phenomenon, as the damage of following storms/hurricanes amplifies the damage of the first one, which could mean that they are intentionally generated simply by heating the waters. Or they can use the storm-steering device in its underwater modification, identical to those used to steer supercell tornadoes or inland storms, leading to excessive rainfall turning into flash floods.
I wrote about the mechanism of tropical storm/hurricane generation; however, it looks like it doesn't work anymore due to the #ObserverEffect. The hurricanes are no longer perceived as an expression of Mother Wrath as it was not long ago. They are seen as a natural phenomenon that can be generated and intensified if the conditions are favorable enough by adding additional power or a trigger.
As of this year, the Atlantic Ocean is hurricane-free due to El Niño, while the Pacific Ocean is the opposite and is extremely conducive to the tropical storms' appearance, creating a temptation to capitalize on preexisting conditions. However, preconditions can be exploited only when there is no awareness, which is no longer the case. The Observer effect doesn't allow the Russians to exploit their arsenal of weather weapons despite the favorable conditions.
As I have written many times before, the weather weapon's main advantage is its stealthiness. As soon as the potential victim is aware of the attack and uses advanced monitoring systems, from underwater, air, or space, no weather weapons can be efficiently used. For a simple reason, it would evoke the same retaliation as the use of conventional or nuclear weapons does.
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